bagelman
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,617
Political Matrix E: -4.90, S: -4.17
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« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2022, 11:30:04 PM » |
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Actual (rounded) R+8 for OH and IA, R+5.5 for TX
Margins of error:
IA:
Zaybay2, Republican95: R+4 538Electoral, SN2903: R+2 TrendsareReal: accurate gracile, IceSpear, ElectionsGuy, OneJ D+1 vern1988 D+2 TSAS04, Frenchrepublican, Jacobin, Laki, kongress D+3 Thunder98, Politician, 20RP12, RFKFan68, Orser67, West_Midlander: D+4 redjohn, yeah_93, Computer89 D+5 krb08, Comrade Funk, Beef, Wisconsinite, McGovernForPrez: D+7 bagelman D+9 RaphaelDLG: D+9.5 coloradocowboi D+10 Zaybay1 D+11
OH:
Zaybay2: R+3 IceSpear: R+2 538Electoral, SN2903, ElectionsGuy, Republican95: R+1 Frenchrepublican, TrendsareReal accurate Comrade Funk, Laki, kongress(average), McGovernForPrez: D+1 gracile, redjohn, Orser67, Jacobin, yeah_93, OneJ D+2 TSAS04, krb08, Politician, RFKFan68, Beef, Computer89 D+3 Thunder98, 20RP12, coloradocowboi, vern1988 D+4 Wisconsinite D+5 RaphaelDLG, bagelman D+5.5 Zaybay1 D+6 West_Midlander D+7
TX:
vern1988: R+5.5 538Electoral: R+4 Jacobin: R+2.5 Frenchrepublican, Politician, SN2903, ElectionsGuy R+0.5 (close enough, closer than below) redjohn, Orser67, Laki, Republican95, Computer89 D+0.5 (close enough) gracile, Beef, Wisconsinite D+1.5 TSAS04, kbr08, 20RP12, Comrade Funk, IceSpear, yeah_93, kongress(average), OneJ D+2.5 Thunder98, Zaybay1, RFKFan68, West_Midlander, coloradocowboi, bagelman: D+3.5 TrendsareReal D+4.5 Zaybay2, RaphaelDLG: D+5 McGovernForPrez: D+6
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