Predict IA, OH, & TX in the general election
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  Predict IA, OH, & TX in the general election		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Predict IA, OH, & TX in the general election  (Read 3001 times)
TDAS04
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« on: September 23, 2019, 09:54:56 AM »
Iowa: Trump +5
Ohio: Trump +6
Texas: Trump +3
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2019, 09:57:17 AM »
Texas: Trump +2

Iowa: Trump +4

Ohio: Trump +4
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Zaybay
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« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2019, 09:58:08 AM »
« Edited: September 23, 2019, 10:01:40 AM by Zaybay »
Im gonna go 'bold' on this one:

Iowa- Dem +3

OH- Trump+ 2

Texas- Trump+2
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krb08
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« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2019, 09:59:43 AM »
Iowa: Trump +1

Ohio: Trump +5

Texas: Trump +3

Iowa could easily flip in a good election for the Dems. The others will be tougher.
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Gracile
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« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2019, 10:00:01 AM »
IA: Trump +7
OH: Trump +6
TX: Trump +4
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #5 on: September 23, 2019, 10:01:36 AM »
« Edited: September 23, 2019, 10:36:48 AM by Frenchrepublican »
With Biden :

IA : Trump +5
OH : Trump +8
TX : Trump +6

With Warren :

IA : Trump +8
OH : Trump +11
TX : Trump +8

I assume that Biden would win the PV by 3 while Warren would win it by 1.
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redjohn
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« Reply #6 on: September 23, 2019, 10:02:54 AM »
Iowa: Trump +3
Ohio: Trump +6
Texas: Trump +5
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Politician
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« Reply #7 on: September 23, 2019, 10:03:45 AM »
Going BOLD:

Iowa: Trump +4
Ohio: Trump +5
Texas: Trump +6
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #8 on: September 23, 2019, 10:04:59 AM »
Iowa: Trump +4
Ohio: Trump +4
Texas: Trump +3
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Crumpets
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« Reply #9 on: September 23, 2019, 10:06:33 AM »
Republican
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: September 23, 2019, 10:07:43 AM »

I think we’re the only posters who currently believe that IA will be more Republican than OH, even if only slightly.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #11 on: September 23, 2019, 10:09:41 AM »
You know what, I dont think I was 'BOLD' enough the last time. Here are my revised figures:

Iowa: Trump +12

Ohio: Trump+ 11

Texas: Trump+0.5
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: September 23, 2019, 10:21:10 AM »
Polls, this far out is meaningless, a wave can develop, IA, and OH can certainly go Dem, and Trump is on the defensive in TX. I wam gonna wait til we have a ticket; Warren-Beto can make TX, IA and OH competetive

279 blue wall is secure, but Dems are pollimg 5-7 points ahead of Trump, even Warren
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #13 on: September 23, 2019, 10:24:26 AM »
Iowa: Trump +1
Ohio: Trump +7
Texas: Trump +3
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Gracile
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« Reply #14 on: September 23, 2019, 10:25:23 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 23, 2019, 10:07:43 AM

I think we’re the only posters who currently believe that IA will be more Republican than OH, even if only slightly.

I think the difference between the two states will be close (and I'm not entirely closing the door to IA voting to the left of OH), but in the end, it likely won't be that much different than what occurred in 2016.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #15 on: September 23, 2019, 10:28:37 AM »
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on September 23, 2019, 10:01:36 AM
With Biden :

IA : Trump +5
OH : Trump +8
TX : Trump +6

With Warren :

IA : Trump +8
OH : Trump +11
TX : Trump +8
Roll Eyes

IA: Trump +4
OH: Trump +5
TX: Trump +2
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #16 on: September 23, 2019, 10:31:03 AM »
Iowa: Trump +1
Ohio: Trump +5
Texas: Trump +4
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #17 on: September 23, 2019, 10:32:00 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 23, 2019, 10:07:43 AM

I think we’re the only posters who currently believe that IA will be more Republican than OH, even if only slightly.

That's because conditions on the ground are a disaster for Trump in Iowa, and they're not so bad in Ohio.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #18 on: September 23, 2019, 10:32:19 AM »
Quote from: Georgia Is A Swing State on September 23, 2019, 10:28:37 AM
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on September 23, 2019, 10:01:36 AM
With Biden :

IA : Trump +5
OH : Trump +8
TX : Trump +6

With Warren :

IA : Trump +8
OH : Trump +11
TX : Trump +8
Roll Eyes

IA: Trump +4
OH: Trump +5
TX: Trump +2

Welcome in the real world, where Stacey Abrams is not the Governor of GA but just a crazy sore loser.
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Orser67
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« Reply #19 on: September 23, 2019, 10:33:07 AM »
NPV: Dems +4
IA: R+4
OH: R+6
TX: R+5
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #20 on: September 23, 2019, 10:33:58 AM »
Quote from: Beef on September 23, 2019, 10:32:00 AM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 23, 2019, 10:07:43 AM

I think we’re the only posters who currently believe that IA will be more Republican than OH, even if only slightly.

That's because conditions on the ground are a disaster for Trump in Iowa, and they're not so bad in Ohio.

It’s not the word I would use, MI is a disaster for Trump but IA is clearly winnable for him.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #21 on: September 23, 2019, 10:52:50 AM »
All Trump by a bigger margin than 2016.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #22 on: September 23, 2019, 11:11:19 AM »
« Edited: September 23, 2019, 11:26:00 AM by TrendsareReal »
IA: Trump +8 (sorry, Steve King’s district isn’t getting anymore Democratic)
OH: Trump +8
TX: Trump +1

If Democrats invest in IA and OH and not TX they deserve to lose
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UWS
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« Reply #23 on: September 23, 2019, 11:12:18 AM »
I don’t see TX going to the left of OH.
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SN2903
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« Reply #24 on: September 23, 2019, 11:15:09 AM »
« Edited: September 23, 2019, 10:49:31 PM by SN2903 »
Ohio  - Trump +9
Iowa - Trump +10
Texas - Trump + 6
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