Why is the race so close?

[Crumpets]

1) Polarization

2) The media loves a horse race

[Crumpets]

Polarization

When you overplay your hand with race issues and turn apolitical people to people who are skeptical about race relations with overgeneralizations, you will see a close race.

Out of curiosity, should Biden win in November despite significant support for Trump from law enforcement, their families, police unions, etc., what do you think the path forward would be for Republicans on this particular issue?

[Crumpets]

Polarization

When you overplay your hand with race issues and turn apolitical people to people who are skeptical about race relations with overgeneralizations, you will see a close race.

Out of curiosity, should Biden win in November despite significant support for Trump from law enforcement, their families, police unions, etc., what do you think the path forward would be for Republicans on this particular issue?

They'll follow the LIGOP's model, which the LIGOP have been doing since 1945, run ads on MS-13, law and order, and coordinate with PBAs and other police unions to attack Democratic politicians or libertarians who push for police accountability.

They'll run someone like a Cotton or a DeSantis who is a law and order type.

The Democrats have to bridge gaps with police, especially white cops, because most of the white cops in the NYPD live on Long Island and are supporting Trump just like the PBA boss.

The NY Times did a story yesterday on this.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/14/nyregion/ny-police-unions-racial-disparity-trump.html

Is that not already what the GOP is doing? It seems like running as a nation-wide LIGOP won't really expand their appeal beyond where it already is, and the fastest growing voting demographics tend to be the least likely to support "tough on crime" policies.