I think it's pretty obvious that they did. Interestingly, I have also read that Karl Rove and Bush initially thought they had lost in 2004.Kerr
"Kerry was going to be the next President Of The United States".
At first I also suspected that Obama was surprised he had won in 2012, but apparently that wasn't the case and the inner circle knew that things were adding up as they needed to during election day.
Nah, Obama knew it all along, just as Nate Silver and most posters on this forum who weren't deluded tools.
Romney probably had a minor lead/was in a dead heat for a brief period after the first debate, but otherwise both averages and Obama's internals correctly showed him ahead.
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