Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[John Dule]

[John Dule]

Holy cow

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1590106556338933760

Pro tip: If you're going to blatantly rephrase the poll question in your dumbass bird app, make sure that the video thumbnail doesn't clearly show the original poll question. It makes you look like an idiot.

[John Dule]

Someone stop the count in Kentucky!

Literally no more or less insane than Trump declaring victory with 34% of Pennsylvania reporting back in 2020.

[John Dule]

Idk if it's just me but Indiana, does the map seem even more polarized than 2020 so far?

Not really, Urban and Rural counties are Young 5% less than Trump in 2020.
But it's the early vote.

Did anyone else get a brief adrenaline rush when they saw this avatar?

[John Dule]

LOL at all the red avatars from Midwestern and Northeastern dumps coping by spamming the Bugs Bunny Florida GIF

"How dare this growing, diverse state not vote for us?"

Nothing takes away our appeal as one of the most popular states in the country that is one of the best states to live in

Imagine defending the existence of Florida. What an overwhelming task.

[John Dule]

If Beto O'Rourke ever holds elected office again in my life, I will send my Social Security Number to each of the next ten people to post in this thread. You can quote this comment if it's ever relevant (which it won't be).

[John Dule]

I've been eating fried chicken. Someone catch me up.

[John Dule]

Oz underperforming Trump in rural counties.

[John Dule]

Spanberger's been called as the winner by NBC, but not on NYT.

[John Dule]

NBC calls NH for Hassan.

[John Dule]

NBC called it for Vance. Almost the exact same margin as Trump in 2020.

[John Dule]

Beto is getting spanked.

I'm not going to have to send my SSN to anyone anytime soon.

[John Dule]

My exact senate prediction is currently looking likely. I had Dems winning PA, AZ, and NV, but losing GA.

[John Dule]

GOP confirmed gay

[John Dule]

Dems only need one of WI, GA, or NV at this point by my estimate.

[John Dule]

Warnock down fewer than 1000 votes in Georgia and still tons left out in DeKalb and Gwinnett

It's almost guaranteed for a runoff at this point, though.

[John Dule]

Almost midnight and MSNBC has only called one Republican House flip. They are calling the House tied at midnight with Republicans at only 219 seats. Absolute bare minimum.

[John Dule]

So NYT still has it as 75% chance the republicans take the house is that accurate?

Yeah, but the estimate is such a low majority that the Marjorie Taylor Greene coalition will be able to do literally whatever they want for two years.

[John Dule]

For the first time in history, the Republican Party has actually overestimated the stupidity of the American public.

[John Dule]

ABC PROJECTS FETTERMAN WINS!!!

First Democratic Senate pickup of the night!

Aight, I'm going to bed. I've seen enough.

> Boebert is down three points with over 80% reporting
> Warnock leads Walker and will likely win the runoff
> Masto leads by over 10 points with 40% reporting
> Most outlets calling PA for Fetterman
> House control not determined by midnight
> Multiple Dem pickups in House races against insane extremists
> Evers likely winning
> House control might come down to four random Orange County districts
> At this rate, Alaska will likely deliver for the Dems again

This is a fat embarrassment for the Republicans. Maybe someday they will realize that Trump is an albatross around their party's neck. But I'm fine with them continuing to lose as they embrace dictatorship and religious fundamentalism.

There have been four major election cycles in the Trump era, and the GOP has only won one of them. Are you tired of winning yet?

[John Dule]

[John Dule]

I'm counting the outstanding House districts that are still leaning R. The Republicans need 24 more seats to gain control by the NYT's count. They are currently leading in... 23.

[John Dule]

Remember, boys: Real men make major political decisions and then blame their wife for her bad advice when things go wrong.

[John Dule]

One thing I will continue to believe is that the sudden GOP momentum of the past three weeks was largely fabricated. There was no inciting incident to cause their gains in the polls. I think this was the result of pollsters and pundits putting their fingers on the scale, because they feared they were missing another 2016/2020 polling error. Ironically, this has caused them to look dumb in the opposite direction.

I was not super active on the predictions board, but I set my Senate map to 50/50 back in August and never changed it, and that looks like where we’re headed (albeit I may have switched GA and NV). So based on the fundamentals and polls for the vast majority of the cycle, these results would be extremely unsurprising. The only reason this looks like a shock is because of the last three weeks of polling.

[John Dule]

Aa good a night as Colorado generally was, it wasn’t so great for alcoholics apparently:

My gambling initiatives failed too