Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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  Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 291962 times)
Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #3525 on: November 09, 2022, 01:10:24 AM »



Tweet is old news. Somewhere earlier in this thread, FRISCH WAS PROJECTED AS THE WINNER (with north of 90% of the vote in)!!!! Yes, this despite the district being reddened up, despite it voting for Trump by like 7 or 8 points in 2020.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #3526 on: November 09, 2022, 01:10:53 AM »



She is probably toast in 2026 if DeSantis wins in 2024 lol. But too early.
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iBizzBee
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« Reply #3527 on: November 09, 2022, 01:10:58 AM »

ABC PROJECTS FETTERMAN WINS!!!

First Democratic Senate pickup of the night!
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #3528 on: November 09, 2022, 01:11:22 AM »

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Harry
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« Reply #3529 on: November 09, 2022, 01:11:41 AM »



Tweet is old news. Somewhere earlier in this thread, FRISCH WAS PROJECTED AS THE WINNER (with north of 90% of the vote in)!!!! Yes, this despite the district being reddened up, despite it voting for Trump by like 7 or 8 points in 2020.

I'm not seeing that anywhere?
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« Reply #3530 on: November 09, 2022, 01:11:45 AM »

Obviously not a great night so far, but what's up with Oz's strength in Chester County?  If you told me that he'd only be losing it by 4 points, I would have thought he was winning in a landslide.

I guess you should have prayed harder. I would think God would intervene.
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #3531 on: November 09, 2022, 01:11:59 AM »

Gonna keep watching Warnock's number creep up hopefully above 50. Crazy to think 2 years ago we were all watching as Perdue's number crept down to just below 50%
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emailking
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« Reply #3532 on: November 09, 2022, 01:12:03 AM »

So all the dooming about Nevada turnout was for nothing?

GM's rules 2 & 3 were pretty applicable today.

2. Don't read too much into anecdotal weather and local turnout reports.  They have little or no predictive value.  Final turnout reports, OTOH, may (but don't always) provide some useful information, but since 2020 they've been of less value than previously due to the very high amount of early voting.

3. Corollary to (2): try not to read too much into early voting reports.  Remember that party registration does not tell you who someone voted for!  Anyone who thinks they can make useful predictions from early voting is deluding themselves.  (The one possible exception is Jon Ralston of the Nevada Independent.)
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #3533 on: November 09, 2022, 01:12:12 AM »

The GOP ****** this election up by pandering to the religious extremists on abortion. Ironically Mike DeWine, popular because of his "moderate" image, is one of the few Republicans not to be impacted by this even though he perhaps deserves more blame than anyone because that asinine bill he signed produced at least half of the "raped minors denied abortion" headlines that caused this backlash nationwide.

Agreed, though the election denialism (and the GOP extremism generally - on abortion, on the election, on everything) also played a big role. Your point about DeWine is spot-on. He maintains an undeserved moderate image and doesn't get nearly enough blame for signing OH's monstrous abortion bill into law in the first place.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #3534 on: November 09, 2022, 01:12:21 AM »

Now we all get to experience the joy of waiting for California mail ballots to be processed
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #3535 on: November 09, 2022, 01:12:45 AM »

Obviously not a great night so far, but what's up with Oz's strength in Chester County?  If you told me that he'd only be losing it by 4 points, I would have thought he was winning in a landslide.

I guess you should have prayed harder. I would think God would intervene.

Allah. Remember, Oz is a Muslim.
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #3536 on: November 09, 2022, 01:12:53 AM »



He does election modeling now? He used to teach in the same department I did.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #3537 on: November 09, 2022, 01:13:04 AM »

Let's go Brandon!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3538 on: November 09, 2022, 01:13:28 AM »

Y'all... Wild may hang on in PA-07! She's up by 0.8% right now with 18,000 votes out in Wild counties compared to 1,800 in Scheller counties.
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Horus
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« Reply #3539 on: November 09, 2022, 01:13:36 AM »

Obviously not a great night so far, but what's up with Oz's strength in Chester County?  If you told me that he'd only be losing it by 4 points, I would have thought he was winning in a landslide.

I guess you should have prayed harder. I would think God would intervene.

Allah. Remember, Oz is a Muslim.


This was always going to be a factor in his rural underperformance. There's a reason Kathy Barnette never endorsed him.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #3540 on: November 09, 2022, 01:14:10 AM »

After a year of fighting, a bespectacled man in a white shirt stands in front of a big board
We lower our phones as he frantically announces Fetterman won
And just like that, it's over, we tend to our heartbeats, we count our votes
Black and white voters wonder alike if this really means freedom
Not yet
We negotiate the terms of concession
I see Joe Biden smile
We escort their men out of Philly
They stagger home single file
Tens of thousands of people flood the streets
There are screams and church bells ringing
And as our fallen foes retreat
I hear the drinking song they're singing
The world turned upside down...

This is pretty cringe but I don't care. I'm over the moon, I could not be happier. What the hell is happening?

Oh I know it's cringe, but I'll drunkenly translate Hamilton songs all night long if I have to. I don't know or care what the hell is happening either, brother. But I love it!

I'm legit more excited than I was when Biden won. These results don't make sense, but 2024 might not be a bloodbath. Democracy might actually survive in this country, and we get front row seats to the 2024 GOP primaries. It is a damn good night to be a Democrat.

It might be a damn good night to be a small "d" democrat too. I think the GOP is going to be forced to abandon their more dangerous election denialism stances, especially if most/all of their most extreme House candidates (propped up by the DCCC!) go down and Kari Lake goes down. I also think they will be forced to move more pro-choice, if anti-abortion extremism is even going down in a state like Kentucky.

And at the end of the day, it's healthier for our democracy to have two parties that actually respect said democracy and actually respect the results of elections no matter the outcome. That's the bare minimum we need to get to in order to even begin to bridge our other divides, and tonight is an encouraging sign that it just might be possible.
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rhg2052
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« Reply #3541 on: November 09, 2022, 01:14:42 AM »

In other news, looks like Maryland and Missouri have voted for legal weed, while the Dakotas and Arkansas have voted against.
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AnOdyssey
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« Reply #3542 on: November 09, 2022, 01:15:17 AM »

 YEAH FETTERMAN! I knew it and I just hope Barnes will pull it out, same with CCM. I hope both CCM and Barnes win, as with Kelly too!
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #3543 on: November 09, 2022, 01:15:18 AM »

Okay y'all, I think I'm heading off to bed (thank goodness I have off tomorrow).

Been a pleasure following the results with you all and I can't wait to hop on tomorrow to keep the party going.  For me personally there's been quite a few disappointments, but also some successes.  And thank you all for putting up with my county-by-county updates that I wasn't planning on doing.  But hey, was a good way to refresh my PA geography Tongue

Night all! To my US peeps, make sure y'all get some sleep yourselves.  Talk to you later this morning! 
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emailking
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« Reply #3544 on: November 09, 2022, 01:15:21 AM »



Tweet is old news. Somewhere earlier in this thread, FRISCH WAS PROJECTED AS THE WINNER (with north of 90% of the vote in)!!!! Yes, this despite the district being reddened up, despite it voting for Trump by like 7 or 8 points in 2020.

I'm not seeing that anywhere?

There was a tweet a while ago that said 93% of the vote was in (I don't remember a projection). But all of the sources I've found since have been stuck at 78%-80% in.
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khuzifenq
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« Reply #3545 on: November 09, 2022, 01:15:21 AM »



Sorry I know this was 30 pages ago but this makes complete and total sense to me. Completely neutralized any perception FL Latinos may have had about the FLGOP being too extreme on abortion.
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Hammy
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« Reply #3546 on: November 09, 2022, 01:15:26 AM »

The GOP ****** this election up by pandering to the religious extremists on abortion. Ironically Mike DeWine, popular because of his "moderate" image, is one of the few Republicans not to be impacted by this even though he perhaps deserves more blame than anyone because that asinine bill he signed produced at least half of the "raped minors denied abortion" headlines that caused this backlash nationwide.

Agreed, though the election denialism (and the GOP extremism generally - on abortion, on the election, on everything) also played a big role. Your point about DeWine is spot-on. He maintains an undeserved moderate image and doesn't get nearly enough blame for signing OH's monstrous abortion bill into law in the first place.

I have to wonder if that was a factor in Abrams loss--not a good look to have somebody who called the legitimacy of an election on your side when you're campaigning against election denialism, when it comes to elections, image is everything.
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iBizzBee
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« Reply #3547 on: November 09, 2022, 01:15:31 AM »

To every single nasty GOP political operative who tried to use a good mans health struggles against him: A very hearty, genuine, F**K YOU.

Fetterman is going to the Senate and I wish him a continued recovery so that he may be the Progressive, every-mans voice in the Senate that we all know he will be.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #3548 on: November 09, 2022, 01:15:37 AM »

It’s looking like Dems might seriously lose control of the House because of New York alone.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #3549 on: November 09, 2022, 01:15:58 AM »

Can I ask please no gloating.. etc to any GOP users here.

No reason for that. Like 2016... you could see signs of what happened happening but any available data and polling would argue against it.

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