Australia 2022 Election

[Kamala's side hoe]

TL;DR of the last 3 pages or so in 2 mins

[Kamala's side hoe]

Interesting to see this massive swing by Chinese voters against the Coalition. In the recent Canadian election Chinese voters swung massively against the Tories and cost them several seats.

https://twitter.com/redrabbleroz/status/1527081791143956480

That big of a swing towards Labor is equally absurd as the NPR/Marist poll showing under-40 US voters as Lean R (or the implied AALDEF 2016-2020 R swings among a sample of AAPI subgroups that is explicitly unrepresentative of the national AsAm electorate).

But I would be very surprised if Chinese Australians (who to my knowledge are the most pro-Coalition major Asian group) did not swing significantly left this cycle.

https://twitter.com/redrabbleroz/status/1527082548345847808

[Kamala's side hoe]

Fair, but after the last few Australian elections, I don't discount the likelihood that enough of the Australian people would say that they care about the environment or hospital funding or whatever if a microphone were stuck in their face, only to then just vote with greed or hate in the privacy of their little cardboard cubicle with the stubby little pencil that they wield.

Pig the dugong says there won't be enough of them to give the Coalition a majority again

[Kamala's side hoe]

ABC suggesting that Labor getting better swings with Chinese language speakers. Not a surprise but interesting to see-if it plays out.

Another swing in Chinese voters towards the left, similar to the collapse of the Canadian Tories in the Canadian election.  I wonder if some of this is to do with age churn as younger more left-wing Chinese voters come into the electorate.

That would be consistent with what’s happened in the US and Canada. Curious what if any swings there were with other Eastern Asian or subcontinental groups.

[Kamala's side hoe]

Nearly all divisions with substantial social problems have Labor MPs, and the most glaring exception (Fowler) was lost because it turns out that parachuting a white and loudly anti-immigrant candidate onto a division that is essentially a series of non-white immigrant suburbs is asking for trouble. Meanwhile the big Liberal losses at the top of the social tree were lost to candidates who quite explicitly market themselves as centre-right but pro-environment ('teal' is the shade you get when you mix blue and green), not to Labor.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dai_Le

The teal candidate who won that district is a Vietnamese refugee who used to be a Liberal until 2016. 60% of this jurisdiction is foreign-born- 15% in Vietnam alone and 7% in Iraq.

TL;DR of the last 3 pages or so in 2 mins

Thanks for sharing this with us. I laughed so hard at the video, lol.

This guy's "Australia in 2 mins" videos are stylistically inspired by a US-based YouTube personality who has an Australian father. One of the points made here was the ALP's delicate balancing act of the traditional blue-collar working class and of urbane/cosmopolitan professional class voters. Wonder if there were any noticeable swings of various "visible minority" groups or "subordinate class" constituencies elsewhere.