Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,834
|
 |
« on: November 27, 2022, 05:27:09 PM » |
|
Back in the Bush era Republicans used to win a good chunk of the 10 most populous counties.
These were Harris, Maricopa, San Diego, Orange, Dallas, and Riverside.
In the Trump era, all of these were washed blue with the largest county he won in 2020 being Suffolk NY, which is the 25th largest in the country.
However, it seems they might be picking up Miami-Dade the 7th largest county in the country.
Rubio won it by 9 and DeSantis by 11. Biden would obviously win Broward, and I think he would take Palm Beach as well (even though DeSantis won it by 3). However, even if the 2024 election holds Florida to single digits, Dade could very well go to the Republicans. However, in the future could Miami-Dade become the next red urban county. The issue for Dems is the demographics are just not on their side there, the county is almost 70% Hispanic which are the reddest population of that demographic country. Additionally, Dade lacks an affluent white suburban population compared to those other former red counties.
I think what makes Miami-Dade even more interesting is that it could be the only main urban county thats red, while it's suburban counties (Broward and Palm Beach) are blue.
|
