After the Soviet Union was attacked we could've got away with only fighting Japan, as Stalin had far more reserves, far more front-line troops etc. He still would've gotten to Berlin, and quite possibly on the same time frame if we keep supplying him with tanks, planes etc. (And keep in mind Operation Barbarossa was about 5 and a half months before the bombing of Pearl Harbor).
I highly,
highly doubt that. Without American entry there would be almost zero threat of a second front on mainland Europe and thusly Germany could free up more men and material to go to the East. Not to mention that German morale would be higher, there would no major strategic bombing campaign, and lend-lease to the USSR will be a tough sell to Congress without America at war with Germany.
The Soviets may well still win the war, but the idea that it would be on the same time-frame and everything will be fine is nonsense. Also consider that without any serious invasion of Western/Southern Europe the Soviets will gain
much more of Europe then in actual history. The British won't be able to invade until after basically the entire German military has already been decimated by the Soviets.
A yeah, not going to war with Germany would've basically been a major strategic miscalculation at best.