Is the possibility of Dem 2020, Rep 2024 underrated by Atlas?

[Sir Mohamed]

It could happen if the economy crushes in 2023-24, healthcare reform ends in a mess and the GOP nominates a halfway decent candidate. Usually a sitting prez is favored unless he does very poorly.

[Sir Mohamed]

I think the fact that we have so much polarization in this country is a factor that could lead to us having  multiple 1 term President. I would say it's possible that the next two or three presidents after Trump or including Trump could be one term only due to the political climate in the U.S

More likely than multiple consectutive one termers is that each prez has only a two year window with congressional majorities to get legislative stuff done. The House flips in the first midterm, and even if the prez is reelected, the House stays with the opposition party while the senate gets lost in the second midterm. If at all; the senate could remain under GOP control in 2020 even with a Dem prez. HRC would have had a full GOP congress for her entire term.

[Sir Mohamed]

I think the fact that we have so much polarization in this country is a factor that could lead to us having  multiple 1 term President. I would say it's possible that the next two or three presidents after Trump or including Trump could be one term only due to the political climate in the U.S

More likely than multiple consectutive one termers is that each prez has only a two year window with congressional majorities to get legislative stuff done. The House flips in the first midterm, and even if the prez is reelected, the House stays with the opposition party while the senate gets lost in the second midterm. If at all; the senate could remain under GOP control in 2020 even with a Dem prez. HRC would have had a full GOP congress for her entire term.

you could have the house flip back if the president get relected. then flip back after the midterm.

Slim possibility. Only time it happend was in 1948 with Truman. In 1996 and 2012, Dems failed to win back the House even though they won the House PV by a small margin in 2012.