UK General Discussion:The Rt. Hon Alex Boris de Pfeffel Johnson, Populist Hero

[Mike88]

https://twitter.com/POLITICOEurope/status/1327196004697862145

Gasp!! Will he return to epsilon 5? I mean, Durham.

[Mike88]

Spitting Image is back

Their Starmer and Sunak content was hilarious

Is Rishi that popular?

[Mike88]

A deal has been reached!!

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1342123109424504833

[Mike88]

So, Matt Hancock is having an affair...

Oh, 2021, you are so, so drunk.

[Mike88]

How credible is the snap October election theory?

https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1537845004751847425

[Mike88]

If we look at early elections (taken as before 4 years or so after the previous) we have

2019: government didn't have majority
2017: attempt to increase majority
Oct 1974: government didn't have majority
Feb 1974: "Who governs Britain?" Not you, Ted
1966: attempt to increase majority
1955: mandate for new PM
1951: attempt to increase majority
1931: mandate for new government
1924: government didn't have majority
1923: mandate for policy change
Dec 1910: mandate for constitutional change (Parliament Act)
Jan 1910: mandate for passing Budget

It's hard to see how Oct 2022 fits in, assuming Johnson is still PM.

2022: Desperate attempt by PM to stave off his political demise

But seriously there won't be an election, he's better off clinging on and just hoping things get better in a year or two than facing certain defeat in an election and throwing the rest of the party under the bus alongside himself.

A similar trend with past snap elections was that, at dissolution time, the party in government was polling well, even Heath in early February 1974 was recovering in the polls, which is not the case with Boris as he's been polling badly for some time now.

[Mike88]

I know these resignations are just the pilling up of several other scandals and that this last one was just the last drop, but, it's quite interesting that it had to be a man "pinching" other men to almost bring Boris government to complete colapse.

[Mike88]

Uh oh.

https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1544993604325761025?s=20&t=jp-dPBlzes...

Hmm... maybe Boris had a call from a certain European colleague who told him, "Look, politicians are also just humans. Say you're sorry and move on." xD