I think we're headed towards a decade of D presidents once TX goes, the question is when that is. If Trump wins this year, it'll vote for the D in '24 imo. The math just isn't there for the GOP to win when the presidency with it D for the time being.
The GOP is going to start owning the rust belt and great lakes states, including MN. That, with FL being increasingly republican, makes up for TX.
No it doenst lol :
Democrats win with this map 281-257 and that is with 2010s EV allocation with 2020s that will be an even larger margin and this is without NC going Dem which it very likely would in this scenario.
To win IL, CT, DE it could happen but it would happen after a decade in the wilderness similarly to the Democrats in the 1980s and by then it would be already way way to late for much of the agenda conservatives want.
Once government programs are created its almost impossible to get rid