One Week Until Iowa - Who Wins?
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  One Week Until Iowa - Who Wins?
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Poll
Question: Tongue
#1
Clinton (D)
 
#2
Sanders (D)
 
#3
Trump (R)
 
#4
Cruz (R)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 107

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Author Topic: One Week Until Iowa - Who Wins?  (Read 2649 times)
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darthebearnc
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« on: January 25, 2016, 06:21:08 PM »

Trump and Sanders Smiley
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2016, 06:28:04 PM »
« Edited: January 25, 2016, 06:30:05 PM by Ronnie »

I voted for Cruz and Sanders, mostly because the organization of caucuses are conducive to support for the most ideological candidates.  They also seem to have solid ground games, based on what I've read.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #2 on: January 25, 2016, 06:35:06 PM »

Clinton/Trump.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #3 on: January 25, 2016, 06:37:21 PM »

Trump and Clinton will win Iowa respectively.
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Penelope
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« Reply #4 on: January 25, 2016, 06:44:30 PM »

Clinton (D) and Trump (R).

Bold Prediction: Rubio has a last minute Iowa surge and breaks 20%, possibly dethroning Cruz for second place.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #5 on: January 25, 2016, 06:45:06 PM »

Clinton on the Democrat side definitely.  I think all the talk of Sanders supporters being too clustered in the cities is overblown, but the generation and information gaps real and will hurt him.  However, even if he loses by double digits the media will paint it as a "victory", which might help him going into NH.

Like Sanders, TRUMP might have issues with turnout.  I also think that Cruz could win on evangelicals alone in a state like Iowa.  But Carson is doing just well enough to siphon off some evangelicals, plus TRUMP has been peeling away Cruz's non-evangelical supporters since the debate.  Gonna go with TRUMP.
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bigedlb
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« Reply #6 on: January 25, 2016, 06:48:31 PM »

Trump by 10, Sanders by 7
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #7 on: January 25, 2016, 06:48:34 PM »

On the Democratic side, I think President Obama's comments today probably swing the state to Hillary, if only narrowly.

On the Republican side, Trump edges out Cruz.
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LLR
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« Reply #8 on: January 25, 2016, 06:51:19 PM »

Sanders by 11

Cruz by 1
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Pyro
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« Reply #9 on: January 25, 2016, 06:56:52 PM »

Trump and Sanders.
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WVdemocrat
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« Reply #10 on: January 25, 2016, 06:58:05 PM »

Gonna be bold and go with Sanders/Cruz
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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: January 25, 2016, 07:00:46 PM »

Clinton/Trump. Clinton by a hundred, maybe tens of votes. Trump by nearly double digits.
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #12 on: January 25, 2016, 07:02:00 PM »

I never thought that saying Cruz would win would be considered a bold prediction Tongue

Anyway, close Cruz win.
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cxs018
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« Reply #13 on: January 25, 2016, 07:03:58 PM »

Ted Cruz wins thanks to tactical voting.
Bernie Sanders wins thanks to most O'Malley supporters flocking to him, also due to the fact that Sanders supporters tend to be more convincing than Clinton supporters.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #14 on: January 25, 2016, 07:06:29 PM »

I haven't been right about much since Walker crashed and Carson flopped, but I'll say Clinton and Cruz.

I'll make the additional hedge prediction that if Trump wins IA, he will win the nomination.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: January 25, 2016, 07:13:39 PM »

Clinton demise has been exaggerated, and Trump will win.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #16 on: January 25, 2016, 07:38:18 PM »

Clinton by 8, Trump by 5.
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #17 on: January 25, 2016, 07:39:04 PM »

Last week, I thought Cruz had a shot to win Iowa, but as further polls have come out showing him consistently behind, I am now picking Trump.

On the Democratic side, I think there is real momentum in Iowa behind Bernie Sanders, so I am going to be a little bold and say he will pull off a narrow win in Iowa propelling him to a bigger win in New Hampshire, unfortunately.  I would rather Clinton win in both states, but I am not at all confident of her chances especially in New Hampshire.
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NHI
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« Reply #18 on: January 25, 2016, 07:41:09 PM »

Trump: 3-5 points.
Sanders: 1-3 points.
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xavier110
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« Reply #19 on: January 25, 2016, 08:03:16 PM »

Sanders/Trump
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RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #20 on: January 25, 2016, 08:19:03 PM »

Sanders/Cruz

Turnip would be in a better position if Iowa didn't have the lengthy caucus system and instead held a primary.

A month ago, I would have said that Clinton will still win Iowa, but Bernie seems like he has been gaining. The polls have been rather shoddy overall though. It's hard to say who is leading.
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JMT
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« Reply #21 on: January 25, 2016, 09:15:33 PM »

I voted for Cruz and Sanders, mostly because the organization of caucuses are conducive to support for the most ideological candidates.  They also seem to have solid ground games, based on what I've read.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #22 on: January 25, 2016, 09:18:23 PM »

I honestly don't know at this point. It really will come done to who is turning out their voters to the caucus. I honestly don't trust caucus polls as caucuses are a lot harder to determine because it isn't just going and casting your ballot. People try to persuade you and by the end you can walk in say supporting Santorum and end up voting for Kasich. I have know clue, we will have to wait and see I guess.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #23 on: January 25, 2016, 09:20:47 PM »

I'll say Sanders and Trump. I have a lot more confidence in The Donald than Bernie though.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #24 on: January 25, 2016, 09:26:00 PM »

At this point
Clinton by 8
Cruz by 2
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