The liberals are the most likely winner
The conservatives still could pull an upset
I don't see the NDP gaining a majority.
Is there a site that acts like the Canadian version of sites like our electoral map maker and 270towin? Digging around I found a site that's dead linked from here, one of those fill in the numbers yourself excel spreadsheets, and a simulator that is telling me the liberals are the most likely party to win.
This is a stimulator that bases the seat count based on the numbers from the polls. It's pretty fun for us pol junkies so I suggest trying it out.