Economist/YouGov weekly poll of various politicos, including 2024 candidates

[Mr. Morden]

The new Economist/YouGov national poll (conducted May 1-4) includes favorability #s for various politicos.  Below I include #s for both potential 2024 candidates, plus some humorous additions, like Cuomo and Gaetz:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/lftymxzxfl/econTabReport.pdf

fav/unfav % among all adults:
Tim Scott 37/26% for +11%
Biden 49/43% for +6%
DeSantis 34/32% for +2%
Haley 33/32% for +1%
Harris 41/49% for -8%
Trump 40/51% for -11%
Gaetz 26/38% for -12%
Cuomo 25/53% for -28%

Dems only:
Biden 82/14% for +68%
Harris 74/19% for +55%
Cuomo 29/39% for -10%

GOP only:
Trump 78/19% for +59%
Tim Scott 58/9% for +49%
DeSantis 56/15% for +41%
Haley 53/16% for +37%
Gaetz 41/21% for +20%

[Mr. Morden]

So this poll shows that 66% of Americans have an opinion of Ron DeSantis.  That's almost as high as the 69% from another YouGov poll for Elizabeth Warren in *January 2019*:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=311087.0

Pretty impressive boost in name recognition compared to like 6 months ago, when nobody knew who he was.

[Mr. Morden]

On Biden vs. Harris, from eyeballing the crosstabs, it looks like the demographic groups that split the most between one and the other (both giving Biden a better grade) are white male college grads and voters under age 30.  Both are +24 points more favorable to Biden than Harris…

fav/unfav % among white male college grads:
Biden 53/43% for +10%
Harris 41/55% for -14%

fav/unfav % among age 18-29:
Biden 59/34% for +25%
Harris 44/43% for +1%

[Mr. Morden]

Since they keep polling many of these people every week, I'll just post updated numbers each week that I remember to do so.  Here's May 8-11:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/zqplrjlj3n/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 51/44% for +7%
DeSantis 36/33% for +3%
Harris 46/45% for +1%
Warren 38/41% for -3%
Trump 43/51% for -8%
Cruz 37/47% for -10%

Dems only:
Biden 81/16% for +65%
Harris 78/18% for +60%
Warren 66/19% for +47%

GOP only:
Trump 77/21% for +56%
Cruz 69/20% for +49%
DeSantis 61/12% for +49%

[Mr. Morden]

Unfortunately, they didn’t poll Cruz or DeSantis this week, but I’ll still post the Biden, Harris, and Trump #s:

May 15-18:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/hhr4zbf09s/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 52/41% for +11%
Harris 45/44% for +1%
Trump 42/51% for -9%

Dems only:
Biden 86/10% for +76%
Harris 78/15% for +63%

GOP only:
Trump 81/15% for +66%

Some interesting #s on the Israeli / Palestinian issue as well:

https://twitter.com/ArgoJournal/status/1395003181164371972

https://twitter.com/ArgoJournal/status/1395004140653264906

[Mr. Morden]

May 29 - June 1:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/4876sp4niu/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 51/41% for +10%
Sanders 46/41% for +5%
Harris 45/43% for +2%
Ocasio-Cortez 35/41% for -6%
Hawley 23/32% for -9%
Cruz 35/46% for -11%
Romney 34/46% for -12%
Trump 41/53% for -12%
L. Cheney 30/43% for -13%

Dems only:
Biden 86/11% for +75%
Harris 82/13% for +69%
Sanders 76/15% for +61%
Ocasio-Cortez 64/16% for +48%

GOP only:
Trump 77/18% for +59%
Cruz 64/18% for +46%
Hawley 36/15% for +21%
Romney 23/60% for -37%
L. Cheney 19/56% for -37%

And then another fun question...

What’s responsible for the Covid-19 virus?

It was created in a laboratory and released on purpose 24%
It was created in a laboratory but was released by accident 18%
It was a natural mutation that occurred in the wild 13%
It was a natural mutation that was released from a laboratory by accident 12%
not sure 33%

Dems:
It was a natural mutation that was released from a laboratory by accident 21%
It was created in a laboratory but was released by accident 16%
It was a natural mutation that occurred in the wild 13%
It was created in a laboratory and released on purpose 12%
not sure 38%

GOP:
It was created in a laboratory and released on purpose 39%
It was created in a laboratory but was released by accident 22%
It was a natural mutation that was released from a laboratory by accident 8%
It was a natural mutation that occurred in the wild 4%
not sure 27%

[Mr. Morden]

June 13-15:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/1oyiu6tamw/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 49/44% for +5%
Harris 42/46% for -4%
Trump 37/56% for -19%

Dems only:
Biden 91/8% for +83%
Harris 83/10% for +73%

GOP only:
Trump 85/11% for +74%

Also:

https://twitter.com/ArgoJournal/status/1405171368623329286

[Mr. Morden]

June 26-29:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/jtpvxvlusg/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 47/46% for +1%
Harris 42/48% for -6%
Manchin 26/34% for -8%
Romney 32/46% for -16%
Trump 39/55% for -16%

Dems only:
Biden 86/10% for +76%
Harris 82/12% for +70%
Manchin 25/43% for -18%

GOP only:
Trump 75/21% for +54%
Romney 22/62% for -40%

[Mr. Morden]

I think this number bears watching:

GOP only:
Trump 75/21% for +54%

That's almost identical to the 76/21% that Echelon Insights found last week:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=452681.msg8143910#msg8143910

Is the block of self-identified Republicans disillusioned from Trump growing?

[Mr. Morden]

July 3-6:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/y4ic1h9zy9/econTabReport.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Biden 49/44% for +5%
Harris 42/46% for -4%
DeSantis 30/35% for -5%
L. Cheney 29/40% for -11%
Manchin 21/37% for -16%
Giuliani 30/49% for -19%
Trump 37/56% for -19%

Dems only:
Biden 90/8% for +82%
Harris 80/14% for +66%
Manchin 19/48% for -29%

GOP only:
Trump 83/15% for +68%
DeSantis 56/15% for +41%
Giuliani 60/22% for +38%
L. Cheney 18/53% for -35%

[Mr. Morden]

July 10-13:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/w2zmwpzsq0/econTabReport.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Biden 51/45% for +6%
Harris 44/48% for -4%
Trump 42/53% for -11%

Dems only:
Biden 89/11% for +78%
Harris 82/12% for +70%

GOP only:
Trump 84/16% for +68%

[Mr. Morden]

July 17-20:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/1aaz80mjhy/econTabReport.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Biden 50/43% for +7%
Harris 43/46% for -3%
Trump 39/55% for -16%

Dems only:
Biden 90/8% for +82%
Harris 83/11% for +72%

GOP only:
Trump 83/15% for +68%

[Mr. Morden]

July 31 - Aug. 3:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/8w7calyx30/econTabReport.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Biden 50/44% for +6%
Harris 44/48% for -4%
Manchin 23/33% for -10%
Sinema 17/27% for -10%
Trump 41/54% for -13%
Collins 20/36% for -16%
Romney 29/49% for -20%

Dems only:
Biden 89/10% for +79%
Harris 83/12% for +71%
Sinema 17/35% for -18%
Manchin 20/44% for -24%

GOP only:
Trump 84/14% for +70%
Collins 20/39% for -19%
Romney 21/63% for -42%

[Mr. Morden]

Aug. 7-10:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/gh8y14nnzo/econTabReport.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Biden 49/45% for +4%
DeSantis 32/34% for -2%
Harris 43/47% for -4%
Lindell 26/30% for -4%
Ocasio-Cortez 32/40% for -8%
Trump 40/54% for -14%
Cuomo 14/62% for -48%

Dems only:
Biden 90/7% for +83%
Harris 83/10% for +73%
Ocasio-Cortez 65/11% for +54%
Cuomo 23/54% for -31%

GOP only:
Trump 83/15% for +68%
DeSantis 60/13% for +47%
Lindell 51/12% for +39%

[Mr. Morden]

Aug. 14-17:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/oacaip2ls4/econTabReport.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Biden 46/46% for +/-0
Harris 41/45% for -4%
Rand Paul 30/36% for -6%
DeSantis 29/36% for -7%
Abbott 22/32% for -10%
Trump 39/53% for -14%
Cuomo 11/67% for -56%

Dems only:
Biden 88/8% for +80%
Harris 82/11% for +71%
Cuomo 19/65% for -46%

GOP only:
Trump 84/14% for +70%
Rand Paul 62/9% for +53%
DeSantis 60/9% for +51%
Abbott 48/8% for +40%

[Mr. Morden]

Aug. 21-24:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/0v9p6tn6ur/econTabReport.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Biden 47/47% for +/-0
Harris 42/47% for -5%
Trump 39/55% for -16%

Dems only:
Biden 90/8% for +82%
Harris 81/13% for +68%

GOP only:
Trump 84/14% for +70%

[Mr. Morden]

August 28-31:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/3gw2x4kv4w/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 46/47% for -1%
DeSantis 31/34% for -3%
Abbott 26/31% for -5%
Harris 40/47% for -7%
Trump 40/52% for -12%
Pence 34/48% for -14%

Dems only:
Biden 88/10% for +78%
Harris 83/13% for +70%

GOP only:
Trump 88/10% for +78%
DeSantis 60/10% for +50%
Pence 68/20% for +48%
Abbott 48/11% for +37%

Also:

https://twitter.com/ArgoJournal/status/1433059947500167172

[Mr. Morden]

Sept. 4-7:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/hlzpfslijb/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 42/51% for -9%
Trump 42/52% for -10%
Harris 39/52% for -13%

Dems only:
Biden 83/13% for +70%
Harris 77/17% for +60%

GOP only:
Trump 85/13% for +72%

[Mr. Morden]

Sept. 12-14:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/lib6k0abqf/econTabReport.pdf

Noem 21/18% for +3%
Hochul 16/15% for +1%
Biden 45/49% for -4%
Harris 42/47% for -5%
DeSantis 30/35% for -5%
Abbott 25/32% for -7%
Newsom 26/34% for -8%
Trump 39/55% for -16%

Dems only:
Harris 84/10% for +74%
Biden 85/12% for +73%
Newsom 49/14% for +35%
Hochul 28/13% for +15%

GOP only:
Trump 81/18% for +63%
DeSantis 58/12% for +46%
Abbott 46/14% for +32%
Noem 38/8% for +30%

Also:

https://twitter.com/ArgoJournal/status/1438129284665720840

[Mr. Morden]

Sept. 18-21:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/h4zvi2yb6c/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 47/46% for +1%
Harris 42/47% for -5%
Trump 41/52% for -11%

Dems only:
Biden 89/9% for +80%
Harris 82/10% for +72%

GOP only:
Trump 83/15% for +68%

[Mr. Morden]

Sept. 26-28:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/ab8vvo6g3z/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 44/49% for -5%
Harris 40/50% for -10%
Trump 39/55% for -16%

Dems only:
Biden 86/12% for +74%
Harris 81/13% for +68%

GOP only:
Trump 83/14% for +69%

[Mr. Morden]

Oct. 3-5:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/j46zs8picp/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 43/48% for -5%
Pressley 17/23% for -6%
Harris 41/48% for -7%
Ocasio-Cortez 33/41% for -8%
Tlaib 22/34% for -12%
L. Cheney 26/39% for -13%
Trump 41/54% for -13%
Omar 24/38% for -14%
Manchin 21/38% for -17%
Sinema 16/34% for -18%
Greene 17/40% for -23%

Dems only:
Biden 88/11% for +77%
Harris 84/13% for +71%
Ocasio-Cortez 69/13% for +56%
Omar 53/16% for +37%
Tlaib 46/15% for +31%
Pressley 38/9% for +29%
Manchin 15/55% for -40%
Sinema 11/51% for -40%

GOP only:
Trump 85/14% for +71%
Greene 30/22% for +8%
L. Cheney 14/53% for -39%

[Mr. Morden]

Oct. 9-12:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/h2rgoa7a3x/econTabReport.pdf#page249

Biden 43/51% for -8%
Pressley 17/25% for -8%
Ocasio-Cortez 33/42% for -9%
Harris 39/50% for -11%
Trump 40/52% for -12%
Sinema 19/32% for -13%
Manchin 23/37% for -14%
L. Cheney 27/41 for -14%
Omar 24/39% for -15%
Tlaib 20/36% for -16%
Greene 19/39% for -20%

Dems only:
Biden 85/11% for +74%
Harris 82/11% for +71%
Ocasio-Cortez 65/11% for +54%
Omar 48/14% for +34%
Tlaib 41/11% for +30%
Pressley 32/9% for +23%
Sinema 9/46% for -37%
Manchin 12/51% for -39%

GOP only:
Trump 86/14% for +72%
Green 35/18% for +17%
L. Cheney 14/57% for -43%

Also:

https://twitter.com/ArgoJournal/status/1448287136898293770

[Mr. Morden]

Oct. 16-19:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/mzvq4c7ty8/econTabReport.pdf

Biden 44/49% for -5%
Buttigieg 31/36% for -5%
Harris 40/50% for -10%
Trump 39/55% for -16%

Dems only:
Biden 88/11% for +77%
Harris 81/14% for +67%
Buttigieg 56/15% for +41%

GOP only:
Trump 81/16% for +65%

[Mr. Morden]

Oct. 16-19:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/qwffht37bk/econTabReport.pdf

Sanders 43/44% for -1%
Abrams 31/33% for -2%
Buttigieg 33/36% for -3%
Biden 44/51% for -7%
Harris 41/49% for -8%
Ocasio-Cortez 32/44% for -12%
Trump 40/55% for -15%

Dems only:
Biden 88/10% for +78%
Sanders 82/13% for +69%
Harris 81/12% for +69%
Abrams 64/7% for +57%
Buttigieg 64/9% for +55%
Ocasio-Cortez 65/14% for +51%

GOP only:
Trump 82/16% for +66%

Also:

https://twitter.com/ArgoJournal/status/1453361884472750080