Pasco County (FL) - St. Pete Polls: Trump +17

[krb08]

I'm a Pasco resident and personally, I don't know what to make of this result. Pasco is a very Trump-friendly county, but it saw one of the largest swings left of any county in FL between 2016 and the 2018 races. The margin in this poll actually represents a rightward swing from 2018.

Yes, it's four points left from 2016, but with the margin Biden is leading by nationwide, I'd expect Trump up by just 12-15. But who knows, St. Pete Polls isn't the most reliable pollster out there. Cool to get a poll of my county anyway.

[krb08]

Scott won this county by 15 points and still managed to win in 2018. However, the sample looks somewhat GOP-friendly because it's just way too white. 90% of the respondents are white, 2.5% black and 3% Hispanic. In 2019 6.7% of the population of Pasco county were black, 16.5% Hispanic and 72.7% non-Hispanic whites.  I would say blacks should be around 6% of the electorate there, Hispanic around 10%, white around 80%.

That's ridiculous, didn't even see that. Doesn't look like they weighted for it. Pasco is 27% nonwhite and this poll is only 10% nonwhite? That's a pretty big deal...