Quinnipiac National: Clinton +7/+10 (user search)
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  Quinnipiac National: Clinton +7/+10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac National: Clinton +7/+10  (Read 4392 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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« on: August 25, 2016, 08:19:25 PM »

Ok.... not sure all of the pros and cons on the "Q-Poll" argument, but Nate Silver/ 538 gives them an overall A- rating, which is actually pretty decent for polling organizations.

Is there something I'm missing here that y'all are arguing about?
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,481
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« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2016, 08:35:11 PM »

Ok.... not sure all of the pros and cons on the "Q-Poll" argument, but Nate Silver/ 538 gives them an overall A- rating, which is actually pretty decent for polling organizations.

Is there something I'm missing here that y'all are arguing about?

This all started WAY back in October/November, which seems like a lifetime ago. QU's national and some state polls had a demographic model more in line with a 2004 electorate (which is how Gallup came undone in 2012) with significant increases in the white vote, and pretty sizeable drops in the Hispanic vote (ie, dropping about 1/3). Part of the reason why QU has had much worse numbers for Clinton, generally, this season was their demographic model. Now, combined with a LV screen and a much more likely demographic model they've moved more in line with the conventional wisdom.

It's cute to respond to those issues with "something something, hack Smiley"

They're the reason why I've treated QU with a pinch of salt for this season.

k.... thanks for the explanation.... much appreciated. Smiley

Was still living in Texas at the time and not following the election very closely, so was a bit confused as to the apparent intensity of the argument on what I never thought of as a particularly bad polling firm. Wink
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,481
United States


« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2016, 09:09:49 PM »

Ok.... not sure all of the pros and cons on the "Q-Poll" argument, but Nate Silver/ 538 gives them an overall A- rating, which is actually pretty decent for polling organizations.

Is there something I'm missing here that y'all are arguing about?
It's cute to respond to those issues with "something something, hack Smiley"

Yeah, Little's trolling is a one-trick pony in that way.

Assuming y'all are talking about "Little Biggie" and not myself?  (?_?)
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,481
United States


« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2016, 09:35:46 PM »

Ok.... not sure all of the pros and cons on the "Q-Poll" argument, but Nate Silver/ 538 gives them an overall A- rating, which is actually pretty decent for polling organizations.

Is there something I'm missing here that y'all are arguing about?
It's cute to respond to those issues with "something something, hack Smiley"

Yeah, Little's trolling is a one-trick pony in that way.

Assuming y'all are talking about "Little Biggie" and not myself?  (?_?)

Not unless you want me to.

Smiley
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