Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Everyone person voting for Moore I know is voting assuming he will be expelled by the Senate.

wat

That sounds like post-hoc rationalization to me. There isn't any evidence that says Moore getting expelled is be a certainty. It sounds to me like these people want Moore to win but don't want to admit they don't care about being represented by a pedophile.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

How is it elitist?

Moore isn't going to get expelled from the Senate. That's not a Coastal Elite position. People who are telling you they are going to vote for Moore but don't think he will end up serving are trying to have it both ways -- they want a Republican to serve them but don't don't want to admit they think that it's more important to have a Republican than to have a child abuser. They can't do that. If they really didn't want Moore in the Senate, they wouldn't be voting for him. They are voting for him either with the full knowledge that he will be seated or have deluded themselves in order to justify voting for a pedophile.

Stop trying to pull the "coastal elitist" shtick. It's a lazy comeback.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Relax. Sample some adult beverage you like.  You know Fox has it pegged.  So, relax.

Roy Moore is probably a prohibitionist so we need to enjoy those adult beverages while we can.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Guys look at the time series for the predicted margin/win percentage on the NYT page. Wild swings all night. Don't get hopes too high because at one point in time it has Jones at > 2

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Mobile Finished up - Now waiting on 25 Precincts from Jefferson. NYT suspects will push Jones to 1%, but is it drops his margin, we could be in recount territory.

I'm really scared about a potential recount.

Recount won't happen. Jones has an 0.8% lead (0.3% away from a recount) with 16 precincts remaining in Jefferson County (Birmingham and environs). I have a really hard time seeing his margin go down, let alone down by 0.3%.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Ecstatic is an understatement!! God Bless Alabama!!

Kudos to you for swallowing your party affiliation and voting the way you did. I admire that. I hope that I find the courage to do that myself if I am ever in a situation anything like yours.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

NYT calls all precincts in.

Jones 49.9
Moore 48.4

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Count is Finished - 100% of Precincts in.

Jones - 670,551 49.9%

Moore - 649,240 48.4%

Write Ins - 22,777 1.7%

21K Margin, 1.5% gap. Probably too high to steal without a heavily concentrated effort. Moore however is not conceding and believes in a recount.

Juuuust enough write-ins to stick out above Jones' margin.