2016 Democratic Nomination Poll - December 2014

[justfollowingtheelections]

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It's still too early to know what will happen.

[justfollowingtheelections]

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It's still too early to know what will happen.

Yes, Hillary led by around 20 points at this time in 2006. Now she leads by 40-50 points.

Your point?

[justfollowingtheelections]

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It's still too early to know what will happen.

Yes, Hillary led by around 20 points at this time in 2006. Now she leads by 40-50 points.

Your point?

My point is that it's nothing like 2008.

No election is the same.  But would you bet your house on Hilary winning the nomination?  I bet you wouldn't.

As for you KCDem, having seen your predictions, I would say that describes you pretty accurately.

[justfollowingtheelections]

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It's still too early to know what will happen.

Yes, Hillary led by around 20 points at this time in 2006. Now she leads by 40-50 points.

Your point?

The point is that in 2008 there were potential candidates with a significant amount of support aside from Hillary.  In 2006, people could point to John Edwards or Barack Obama as potential challengers with significant support.

At this point the only people aside from Clinton who get above 5% are Biden (who isn't going to run) and Warren (who probably won't run).  Correct me if I'm wrong, but while there are plenty of examples of people coming from behind to win, I don't think any of those examples involve people polling between 4% and 1% beating someone polling at 50+%.

So are you absolutely sure that Hilary will the nomination?