CBS/NYT National: Clinton +6/+4 (user search)
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  CBS/NYT National: Clinton +6/+4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS/NYT National: Clinton +6/+4  (Read 1877 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: October 03, 2016, 05:35:04 PM »
« edited: October 03, 2016, 05:38:00 PM by Maxwell »

No way that's accurate if Clinton is up 11 in CO, 5 in FL, etc.

Unless Florida is now a left of center state and some other states are trending Trump (see: Ohio, Iowa).

Great news is now Clinton voters are more excited about voting for her than Trump's voters are about voting for him. Yuge development.

also notable - third party voters are not excited at all about voting for them, which means they will probably evaporate fast on election day as is normal. Sticking with my prediction of Johnson at 2.5-3% then.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2016, 11:59:30 AM »
« Edited: October 04, 2016, 12:06:56 PM by Maxwell »

Post-debate polls have been remarkably consistent - removing obvious jokesters like L.A. Times, Gravis, and Reuters, I get Clinton averaging 49.3% and Trump at 44%, a solid 5 point lead (assuming 2 ways, obviously).

The lead shrinks to 4 points in the 4 way, but what's interesting is that Trump seems to max out at around 45% in the 2 way and 40% in the four way.
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