TX-Quinnipiac: Abbott +15 (user search)
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  TX-Quinnipiac: Abbott +15 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX-Quinnipiac: Abbott +15  (Read 1294 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: December 09, 2021, 10:19:20 AM »

It’s telling that even in this R-friendly poll, Cruz's favorability is only a very undewhelming +6 (51/45). If accurate, this may lend credence to the predictions that TX-SEN 2024 is a better pick-up opportunity for Democrats than FL-SEN 2024 (and is in fact more likely to go D than OH, even with Brown running). If the R nominee is winning TX by a margin healthy enough for Cruz to be heavily favored in his Senate race, Brown has likely already lost anyway.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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*****
Posts: 15,276
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2021, 11:17:37 AM »

It’s telling that even in this R-friendly poll, Cruz's favorability is only a very undewhelming +6 (51/45). If accurate, this may lend credence to the predictions that TX-SEN 2024 is a better pick-up opportunity for Democrats than FL-SEN 2024 (and is in fact more likely to go D than OH, even with Brown running). If the R nominee is winning TX by a margin healthy enough for Cruz to be heavily favored in his Senate race, Brown has likely already lost anyway.

Yup, Beto could have had a chance in rematch, if he didn't run for prez and gov in between. After losing this race, he's pretty much done.

Yes, between him running for President and now for the gubernatorial race in 2022, it’s like he’s actively trying to end his own political career. Some people really just cannot wait a little longer to obtain more power or have serious delusions of grandeur which will cloud their judgment and harm their future electoral prospects even when they are otherwise smart strategians and skilled political operators (see: Bullock, Steve). Shows you how no one is immune from falling into the same old timeless human pitfalls (in this case overestimating oneself just because they have only had success in the past).

Perhaps he’s going the "run until the state is blue enough for me to win" route, but he’s likely to attract serious primary challengers in his next campaigns, and even against Cruz, some crossover appeal will likely be needed to flip the seat given that it’s a presidential year.
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