State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Lol Peters Township didn't even dent the margin.

I just have to laugh at all the "pundits" on twitter who refused to call the race for Pam, even when she was 3.9K votes ahead, because they thought the one township from Washington could actually make up the difference

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Lol Peters Township didn't even dent the margin.

I just have to laugh at all the "pundits" on twitter who refused to call the race for Pam, even when she was 3.9K votes ahead, because they thought the one township from Washington could actually make up the difference

Wait they were waiting on literally one township? Lmao.

Yeah... I mean, they were being careful, but Raja had to win like 98% of the vote in that township to beat Iovino by a vote...

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The Democrats just flipped the Green Bay Mayorship... or is that being discussed in another thread?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Stalker is a horrible name

https://ballotpedia.org/Russell_C._Fagg

WI AD-64 was a 15-point improvement for the Ds from 2016.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

That turnout in SD 33 seems wildly different from the other two.

It does. Were the Allegheny local and county primary elections a big draw?

There were competitive DA and council primaries that fueled turnout.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Not sure if this belongs in this thread, but I don't know where else to put it so...

The Savannah, GA mayorship flipped tonight. Democrat Van Johnson beat Republican first-term incumbent Eddie DeLoach by 23 points.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

These Dem losses are getting ridiculous. The one in Greenwich, CT was especially irritating.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Dems need to hang their heads in shame over this one. What a f***** embarrassment.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Dems need to hang their heads in shame over this one. What a f***** embarrassment.

Over the Georgia result are you serious? Thats a ruby red district

I was referring to TX-HD28.

I'm already irritated with the Connecticut special election loss.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Dems need to hang their heads in shame over this one. What a f***** embarrassment.

Over the Georgia result are you serious? Thats a ruby red district

I was referring to TX-HD28.

I'm already irritated with the Connecticut special election loss.

Democratic special election advantage is all but gone, perhaps even beginning to invert into a Republican advantage.

Check yourself:

https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1222375268402286593?s=21

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Looking good in HD67!

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

KY 99

Ancestral Ds coming in strong.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The suburban-rural realignment trucks on.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hopefully Roni Green breaks the corruption streak in that seat.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hopefully Roni Green breaks the corruption streak in that seat.

If she doesn't, I propose that we pack up the PA 190th Dems, the Florida Dems, and the Iowa Dems and ship them all off to Wyoming.    

Boot the NC and PA GOP to Vermont.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

It seems, that present day Democratic party became as unacceptable to voters in most rural districts as present day Republican is in most urban ones. The same tendencies were clear in last year state legislative elections in Louisiana and Mississippi (except majority Black districts of course).

Yeah, but the problem for the Republicans is that rural America is shrinking while suburban and urban America is growing and turning bluer. Demographics is going to hit the GOP like a freight train in the next two decades and I find it hard to imagine the party surviving in its current form.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The first of many to follow in eastern Kentucky as November approaches:

Republican Wins Longtime Democratic Statehouse Seat In Eastern Kentucky

Looking at the districts, I wouldn’t be surprised if Republicans picked up 10 more seats in the Kentucky House this November.

That would be a 70+ majority.  And Imagine how much larger their House majority could grow after redistricting. 

Say a prayer for Kentucky tonight...

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/jdistaso/status/1237541827848196099

That's an R to D flip in a Trump +10 district.

Also going to be a big stinger for the NH GOP. They dug deep to hold on there.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hopefully Presidential turnout will send her back to the funeral home... she operates one.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

New update.

Moran leads 60.3%-39.7%

This looks over.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The Massachusetts GOP begins and ends with Charlie Baker

They’re quickly approaching Hawaii GOP levels of irrelevance.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The Democrats are poised to flip Michelle Steel's OC Board of Supervisors seat. This will be the first time in over 100 years the Dems will hold this seat, and this victory cuts the GOP's majority to 3-2.

There is no runoff here so if Foley maintains her lead, she wins.

https://twitter.com/VanceUlrich/status/1369499537547554824?s=20

EDIT: There are only 5K in-person votes outstanding. The seat is hers.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Even with the benefit of vote splitting, it still looks like Dems combined got 51%. Quite impressive.

Does anybody from the area know if either of the Dem candidates had special local appeal or name recognition, or is this just a product of trends? Or both?

Foley is the mayor of Costa Mesa and is quite popular from what I have read.

It's also probably a product of trends considering the combined votes for the Dem candidates nearly accounted for a majority of those cast, and the district is R+8 in registration.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Not sure what thread this goes in, but the 2 amendment curtailing gov emergency powers are up big

Ahaha sometimes I really hate the people in this state.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

It's pretty stunning how New England continues to produce some pretty good results for the Democrats in specials this cycle despite the underperformance everywhere else.