2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Horus]

Woke up optimistic.

I think at the absolute minimum Biden is gonna keep it close and we're gonna pick up the Senate. Let's go!

[Horus]

Biden continues to rise on PredictIt. I’m also continuing to rise...

As excited as I am about a Biden presidency, I still find sexual arousal a fundamentally weird response.

You say weird as if weird is a bad thing.

[Horus]

So is no one else concerned about those voters Trump GAINED in Guam?

Yeah, that's not a good sign.

[Horus]

From CNN: early exit polls:

What's more important?:

contain coronavirus 52%
rebuild the economy 42%

There's your ballgame.

People said the same thing when Hillary was winning on the issues in the early exit polls. Let's wait until some results come in.

[Horus]

These exits look nothing short of disastrous for Biden

[Horus]

Also, it just makes sense that COVID would be the top issue. There's no way it would be... #3 below racial inequality.

Many in society are tired of COVID and just don't want to think about it anymore. Is that terrible? Yes. But it's also true for many.

[Horus]

Why is Indiana releasing results before 6? Isn't that like, illegal? Must be a test.

[Horus]

CNN Exit Poll: 45 College Educated/55 Non College Educated.

Is that good?

[Horus]

Holy overreactions in this thread lol

He’s doing worse in every single rural county so far than 2016, sometimes markedly. He’s toast.

Could just be early vote.

[Horus]

These are probably just early votes. Wait until 100% are in in a county or two before talking about swings.

[Horus]

Uh oh, Robertson county KY is almost 100% and it's showing a Trump swing.

[Horus]

Biden up 2 to 1 in Kenton county (Cincy burbs) with a little over a quarter in.

[Horus]

OK basically when the counties initially populate it's all early vote and it's clear that the early vote is going massively for Biden.  Lets see the results when counties get to 100%, particularly the suburban ones.

In Indiana it's likely that the election day vote is reported before the  absentee vote, which is likely to be more Democratic.

I'd think the opposite would be true?

[Horus]

Contain the Coronavirus vs Rebuild the Economy

GA: 52-42
VA: 53-42

I like that.

[Horus]

Just a reminder:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1323738622923853825

Trump at 66.41% on the early vote here.

So somewhere between pure tossup and a sort of decent night for Biden in FL. Buckle up.

[Horus]

Way too early guys. Miami looks amazing for Trump unfortunately.

[Horus]

Miami-Dade swinging towards Trump because of Cubans is about what I expected? Should be balanced out by a Biden swing in white suburbs upstate.

Yeah I expected a swing but that was massive. Cuban voters are bizarre.

[Horus]

There were not a million votes cast in Miami-Dade today. Stop.

He said it was mostly election day, not just.

[Horus]

Also just a reminder that, despite 51% of the Florida vote being in, none is from Palm Beach, Broward, Orange, or Leon, and there's still less than a two point difference between Biden and Trump.

The needle is at 91%, there's no way Biden comes back in Florida. He's gonna have to hope for the firewall map plus maybe GA or NC.

[Horus]

Biden up by nine points in Delaware county Ohio with 73% in.

[Horus]

Well, at least I spent the last few months preparing myself for this.

[Horus]

Ohio exit poll toplines (from averaging men and women):

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/ohio

Trump 52%
Biden 46%

Damn.

[Horus]

Ohio is usually Dem early but gets slowly more Rep throughout the night. Wouldn't read much into it yet although the early Delaware county results are something.

[Horus]

Denton county looking good for Biden.

[Horus]

Politico calls KY for Mitch.

$100M well spent, Democrats.

What a waste.