2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[lfromnj]

CNN Exit Poll: 45 College Educated/55 Non College Educated.

Is that good?

Yes.

It was 50/50 in 2016 although I think the 2016 exit polls were off for that.

[lfromnj]

also, college-educated is at 45%, up from 40% in 2016

   
clinton
trump
other/no answer
high school or less
18%
46%   51%   3%
some college
32%
43%   51%   6%
college graduate
32%
49%   44%   7%
postgraduate
18%
58%   37%   5%

False atleast for CNN

College turnout is no way higher than 2016, thats impossible, higher turnout means more non college voters are turning out.

[lfromnj]

Yeah these EV are massively Biden skewed so it should taper down, he's at 73% on DDHQ in Lexington's county in KY when Beshear got 65%

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/Megan_Palin/status/1323751340477218817

Is this normal?

Snipers are commonly placed as I remember during the summer protests but I can't remember the last time one of them has fired. I would be more worried about a riot wall, snipers really aren't going to go massacre a crowd.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1323771193867063296

[lfromnj]

REMINDER

these numbers are exclusively or mostly EARLY VOTE ONLY IN FLORIDA.

However, Biden is well ahead of Clinton's raw vote in every county reporting so far. Trump is behind his 2016 raw vote in every county.

(For posterity, that's Brevard, Lake, Pasco, Pinellas and Lee.)

Broward, Trump is up by 7k(compared to 2016)

[lfromnj]

Broward just came in, 75-24 Biden!

DDHQ has 553,080 for Biden and and 267k for Trump. Biden down by 300 votes from 2016, and Trump up by 7k

[lfromnj]

If Biden is really only at 54% in Miami-Dade, Shalala and Mucarsel-Powell could have a tougher night than expected.

Both of them are trailing.

[lfromnj]

Broward just came in, 75-24 Biden!

DDHQ has 553,080 for Biden and and 267k for Trump. Biden down by 300 votes from 2016, and Trump up by 7k

With 100% or close in? That's not...terrible. that kind of drop-off doesn't sound like it's going to be enough to overcome the shift we're seeing along the I-4.

The question is what's going on in Miami-Dade

Not 100% in just early vote.

[lfromnj]

There are a bunch of really blue areas mostly out: Orange and Broward in particular...

No Broward came in for early vote too, From TOTAL 2016 Biden is down by a few hundred while Trump improved by 7k. ED vote still has to come in though.

[lfromnj]

There are a bunch of really blue areas mostly out: Orange and Broward in particular...

No Broward came in for early vote too, From TOTAL 2016 Biden is down by a few hundred while Trump improved by 7k. ED vote still has to come in though.

16% is in from Broward County.

DDHQ has more in

[lfromnj]

Again guys

   Hillary Clinton   Timothy Kaine   Democratic   624,146   63.22%
   Donald J. Trump   Michael R. Pence   Republican   333,999   33.83%


Total vote in MD in 2016.

Now

Biden 548k
Trump 457k,

most of the early vote is in as ED is many fewer votes. In Whiter counties ED means Trump gains as Pinnelas is now only Biden +0.7 I don't know how ED should affect MD county.

[lfromnj]

Miami Dade is getting even tighter. Biden +8.3 as we all know election day vote in Florida is more Republican and is coming in. I don't get why yall are trying to deny the Miami Dade swing

[lfromnj]

Not many people expected Biden to lose Florida but win Ohio, but that’s looking quite likely now. So much for the “sun belt strategy” I guess.

Oh stfu you said Biden would win Boone County earlier this night, take a fcking hike.

[lfromnj]

Recommend for petition to mute Alben Barkely, insufferable hack who makes stupid claims about early vote, much worse than any claim Limo liberal has made, who literally said people should pay attention to the 15 point cuban swings but no thats "dooming" and not good.

[lfromnj]

Florida exit poll toplines (from averaging men and women):

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/florida-president-results

Biden 49%
Trump 49%

Headed for a recount 2.0 because 2020 of course.

Panhandle isn't in

[lfromnj]

Recommend for petition to mute Alben Barkely, insufferable hack who makes stupid claims about early vote, much worse than any claim Limo liberal has made, who literally said people should pay attention to the 15 point cuban swings but no thats "dooming" and not good.

F—k you.

Not even sure what the f—k you’re talking about. Florida is obviously not looking good, I have not said otherwise since Miami-Dade came in.

You were gloating that Biden had it in the bag.

He also said Kenton and Boone county KY would go D early in the night.

[lfromnj]

A few bold predictions:

1. Biden wins Kenton and Campbell counties. In addition to (easily) Franklin County.

2. Biden wins Fayette and Jefferson counties and ends up in at least the mid-60s in both.

3. Biden MAY win back Elliott County.

4. They will NOT be able to call Kentucky at poll close.

5. Trump wins Kentucky in the end by low-mid double digits, an abysmal margin compared to 2016.

6. People who unironically thought Biden being a white man wouldn’t matter in states like Kentucky, and that he’d do worse than Obama and Hillary, will have a ton of crow to eat.

You made all these claims

1. Kenton is 88% in and +20 Trump,  Franklin is 90% in and +0.1 Trump

2. Lexington/Louisville didn't release that many votes

3. Almost certainly not although it still only 52% reporting

4. Weird stuff happened

5. Meh final margin isn't there

6. There are multiple counties in rural where Biden is doing worse than both Clinton and Obama despite being a white man.

[lfromnj]

A few bold predictions:

1. Biden wins Kenton and Campbell counties. In addition to (easily) Franklin County.

2. Biden wins Fayette and Jefferson counties and ends up in at least the mid-60s in both.

3. Biden MAY win back Elliott County.

4. They will NOT be able to call Kentucky at poll close.

5. Trump wins Kentucky in the end by low-mid double digits, an abysmal margin compared to 2016.

6. People who unironically thought Biden being a white man wouldn’t matter in states like Kentucky, and that he’d do worse than Obama and Hillary, will have a ton of crow to eat.

Here we go asshole Barkley

You made all these claims

1. Kenton is 88% in and +20 Trump,  Franklin is 90% in and +0.1 Trump

2. Lexington/Louisville didn't release that many votes

3. Almost certainly not although it still only 52% reporting

4. Weird stuff happened

5. Meh final margin isn't there

6. There are multiple counties in rural where Biden is doing worse than both Clinton and Obama despite being a white man.

6 is a very small minority, most counties I'm seeing Biden is doing better than Hillary.

How many of those are mostly in?

[lfromnj]

Texas likely Trump
Georgia likely a Trump
Florida officially Trump
NC ... tossup.

Yeah. Donald Trump is going to win re-election.

All you mocking doomers really really need to re-evaluate your sunshine views

How the f—k do you say NC is a toss-up and then in the next sentence say Trump is definitely gonna win?

How the f--k do you say Biden is gonna to win Kenton county ky

[lfromnj]

TX, besides the suburban white areas Trump is doing better everywhere than Cruz.

[lfromnj]

Biden performing similarly to Beto?

Ah well. Good thing I just put the crow in the oven

Oh well atleast you are eating it unlike a certain kentucky avatar here I need to eat some too.

[lfromnj]

A few bold predictions:

1. Biden wins Kenton and Campbell counties. In addition to (easily) Franklin County.

2. Biden wins Fayette and Jefferson counties and ends up in at least the mid-60s in both.

3. Biden MAY win back Elliott County.

4. They will NOT be able to call Kentucky at poll close.

5. Trump wins Kentucky in the end by low-mid double digits, an abysmal margin compared to 2016.

6. People who unironically thought Biden being a white man wouldn’t matter in states like Kentucky, and that he’d do worse than Obama and Hillary, will have a ton of crow to eat.

Here we go asshole Barkley

You made all these claims

1. Kenton is 88% in and +20 Trump,  Franklin is 90% in and +0.1 Trump

2. Lexington/Louisville didn't release that many votes

3. Almost certainly not although it still only 52% reporting

4. Weird stuff happened

5. Meh final margin isn't there

6. There are multiple counties in rural where Biden is doing worse than both Clinton and Obama despite being a white man.

Dude, you need a seriously big drink of STFU juice right now

For what?

Alben Barkley has been stupidly terrorizing this board and acting like an asshole for months, predicting the biggest landslide, he was literally predicting 1980 or 1932 earlier in this night, people can mock me too FWIW but I am absolutely going to Mock Barkley till he shuts up and eats his crow.

Monstro also was super optimistic but he admitted it.

[lfromnj]

Its not only Cuban, but Biden has a Hispanic problem

Hispanic voters per early 2020 exit polls:

Florida:
2016: Clinton +27
2020: Biden +8

Georgia:
2016: Clinton +40
2020: Biden +25

Ohio:
2016: Clinton +41
2020: Biden +24

Source: CNN

Yeah Oscoela county in FL is only Biden +18 albiet with 83% in, compare that with Biden +25. This is the Puerto Rican county in FL.

[lfromnj]

Lol Mr.Bidenmaywin Elliot county

Turns out Elliot is
75.1% for Trump and 23.7% for Clinton

The amazing white male Democrat did worse than Shillary and Obama.