2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Blair]

FWIW that thread from Nate Cohn goes on to say he thinks Biden still narrowly will survive

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I have a feeling this election is far from over unless Biden somehow can win PA by 100k+ votes

[MillennialModerate]

Mark my words: Pennsylvania is the election. Every remaining state is going Trump

[cwh2018]

Should we be worried about NV? What’s going on there?

AZ seems more concerning than NV at this point, the remaining vote sounds very Trump favorable.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324070507168358402 No it may  not have to be, there may be 500k still to be counted according to some reports.
Think about it Biden at +4.5/5 nationally has Arizona basically at a tie

It would have to be overwhelmingly R though to turn Biden's 100K lead though

[MillennialModerate]

Should we be worried about NV? What’s going on there?

AZ seems more concerning than NV at this point, the remaining vote sounds very Trump favorable.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324070507168358402 No it may  not have to be, there may be 500k still to be counted according to some reports.
Think about it Biden at +4.5/5 nationally has Arizona basically at a tie

It would have to be overwhelmingly R though to turn Biden's 100K lead though

BUT IT WILL BE

[Fargobison]

Should we be worried about NV? What’s going on there?

AZ seems more concerning than NV at this point, the remaining vote sounds very Trump favorable.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324070507168358402

It would have to be overwhelmingly R though to turn Biden's 100K lead though

If it matches Trump's election day margin it could, I'd say it still leans Biden but we could be looking a very tight margin.

[Omega21]

You all went from "Uncle Joe 400+ landslide + senate + PR state + court packing" to clawing for 270 and conceding the Senate.

Very low-energy, definitely not strong lol

Actually, I never predicted a 413 map, don't care about Puerto Rico, and oppose court packing. Maybe make an effort and do actual some research before you respond to me.

Biden will win Florida by double digits.

¿No comprende, señor?

[Bootes Void]

Mark my words: Pennsylvania is the election. Every remaining state is going Trump

Even Nevada, Georgia and Arizona?

[Roronoa D. Law]

Anybody got an idea what's going on in suburban NY that NJ and CT missed?

[MillennialModerate]

Mark my words: Pennsylvania is the election. Every remaining state is going Trump

Even Nevada, Georgia and Arizona?

Percent Trump will win:

Georgia: 99%
Arizona: 90%
Nevada: 75%

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

FWIW that thread from Nate Cohn goes on to say he thinks Biden still narrowly will survive

Yup.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324071070652157953

[͘]

Mark my words: Pennsylvania is the election. Every remaining state is going Trump

Why are you such a big defeatist?

[Bootes Void]

Mark my words: Pennsylvania is the election. Every remaining state is going Trump

Even Nevada, Georgia and Arizona?

Percent Trump will win:

Georgia: 99%
Arizona: 90%
Nevada: 75%

You have Trump as a favourite in Nevada?

[wbrocks67]

Would be great if Michigan could count Detroit...

[Bojack Horseman]

I have never done this before but MillennialModerate is the first occupant of my ignore list.

[Angel of Death]

Trump won ME-2 again.

[Podgy the Bear]

FWIW that thread from Nate Cohn goes on to say he thinks Biden still narrowly will survive

People like Nate Cohn and Dave Wasserman and the likes of their ilk need to get real jobs.  They don't know what they're doing in making political predictions.

[MaxQue]

Mark my words: Pennsylvania is the election. Every remaining state is going Trump

Even Nevada, Georgia and Arizona?

Percent Trump will win:

Georgia: 99%
Arizona: 90%
Nevada: 75%

Please go back to being infatuated with the Kennedys.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

When was the last time there was Democratic President, Republican Senate and Democratic House?

Not that I recall of. Other than Dubya 2001-2003, presidents have often controlled the senate, but not the House when they had just one chamber. Kinda funny this was the case at the beginning of House of Cards. I always dismissed it as unlikely a president would have the House, but not senate.

Well then TBH next time I suggest you should try to think more carefully rather than dismissing things, the lack of foresight here is entirely yours. The good news is you can do better in the future though.

[Skill and Chance]

Mark my words: Pennsylvania is the election. Every remaining state is going Trump

Even Nevada, Georgia and Arizona?

Percent Trump will win:

Georgia: 99%
Arizona: 90%
Nevada: 75%

These are all way too high.  Trump is narrowly favored in AZ and Biden is narrowly favored in NV.  GA depends entirely on how much of the vote is still out.  Anyone have a good update on that?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

(NYT):  Trump's campaign is requesting a recount in WI --

Trump’s campaign manager says he’ll request a recount in Wisconsin, though it may be up to two weeks before one can begin. In 2016 a statewide recount increased Trump’s margin by 131 votes.

[MillennialModerate]

Mark my words: Pennsylvania is the election. Every remaining state is going Trump

Even Nevada, Georgia and Arizona?

Percent Trump will win:

Georgia: 99%
Arizona: 90%
Nevada: 75%

You have Trump as a favourite in Nevada?

Slightly to more Probable

[Fargobison]

Mark my words: Pennsylvania is the election. Every remaining state is going Trump

Even Nevada, Georgia and Arizona?

Percent Trump will win:

Georgia: 99%
Arizona: 90%
Nevada: 75%

LOL...I would only have Trump as a favorite in GA. AZ and Nevada less than a 25% chance.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Has anyone reverted their call on Arizona?

And why hasn't NC been called yet?

[forsythvoter]

How much money do you have tied up in betting markets on this lol? Not a good bet

Mark my words: Pennsylvania is the election. Every remaining state is going Trump

Even Nevada, Georgia and Arizona?

Percent Trump will win:

Georgia: 99%
Arizona: 90%
Nevada: 75%

You have Trump as a favourite in Nevada?

Slightly to more Probable