Those O'Rourke-Trump voters in Laredo, El Paso, Brownsville, and McAllen are sure keeping Trump in this!
I don’t think your average Trump supporter would dare vote for Beto in 2018.
That was sarcasm.
A good proxy for how hispanic voters in Texas vote is looking at, well, the counties where hispanics make up 90%+ of the population. AKA, south Texas/El Paso. And there is nothing to indicate Trump will get anywhere near 40% in those places.
I have to disagree. There's a huge cultural and political divide between relatively newer Hispanic citizens, as in a generation or two removed from the old country, versus those elsewhere in the statement of Bend in Texas for multiple Generations.
There is endemic poverty in South Texas that makes Hispanics are much more democratic voting. You simply can't draw a parallel between them and Hispanics living in Suburban San Antonio or Panhandle.
All that said, ain't no way and Hell Trump is reaching 43% of the Hispanic vote