but the whites around the state will stay a stubborn 60% R or so.
Actually, if whites are
only 60% R, that could flip the state.
http://www.latinodecisions.com/blog/2015/08/27/on-the-prospects-of-a-blue-arizona/Hispanics leaned more to McCain than Obama relative to nation in 2008 in Arizona, but quickly moved D, especially after Romney's self deportation. Trump is only going to accelerate that trend.
If Clinton can bring whites back to their historical norm of 40% D, she stands a decent chance of winning here, with the exploding Hispanic population, and their continued migration to Ds.
Poll
