TX-SEN: (GBA) Cruz +4

[IceSpear]

Lean R, but I wouldn't be surprised if Beto won.

Aren't you talking about a red wave in a bunch of other threads?

[IceSpear]

Lean R, but I wouldn't be surprised if Beto won.

Aren't you talking about a red wave in a bunch of other threads?

Well the data clearly indicates a red wave, but I sense special Beto magic.

What data?

And it would be hard enough for Dems to win Texas even in a blue wave, a red wave would make it impossible, lol.

[IceSpear]

Lean R, but I wouldn't be surprised if Beto won.

Aren't you talking about a red wave in a bunch of other threads?

Well the data clearly indicates a red wave, but I sense special Beto magic.

What data?

And it would be hard enough for Dems to win Texas even in a blue wave, a red wave would make it impossible, lol.

Well the Republicans are tied or leading in virtually every toss up House race, some by huge margins. And they are leading in races that are supposed to be lean D (FL-27, IL-06, MN-08, IA-01). At this rate, I see a 228-208 GOP House or thereabouts. As for the Senate, when the two candidates are about tied, I default to fundamentals. That means GOP pickups in MO, IN, ND and MT. For AZ and NV I defer to NYT/Upshot and PredictIt. So GOP will have 55 Senate seats or thereabouts. This would leave them in better shape in 2019-2020 than they were in 2017-2018.

The most recent polls of FL-27 and IA-01 are D+7 and D+15 respectively. I'll grade this trolling a C-. I expected better from you Beet.

[IceSpear]

The most recent polls of FL-27 and IA-01 are D+7 and D+15 respectively. I'll grade this trolling a C-. I expected better from you Beet.

Why take the bait, then?

I thought he'd have better trolling and I wanted to see it in action. Like, with all the polls coming out recently it would be pretty easy to cherrypick and construct a red wave narrative with them. I was looking forward to seeing it, since Beet is usually pretty good at stuff like this. But instead he chose to use easily debunkable flat out lies, which was disappointing.