DaleCooper
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Posts: 11,286
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« on: April 25, 2023, 01:38:38 PM » |
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As it stands now, I think it's almost certain that she'll take more votes from Democrats than Republicans, but is there much reason to believe that Sinema will make it onto the ballot at all? From my understanding it is very hard because her signatures would have to come from registered independent voters. I guess that's doable with the kind of GOP assistance she's likely to get, and the GOP is the only group of people with any reason to donate to her, but at that point she's in danger of becoming a de facto conservative third party candidate. There's a very real possibility that the reasonable GOP voters who are disturbed by Lake's insanity, but would vote for her anyway because they'll never vote Democrat, might vote for the incumbent indy senator that Dems hate.
Either way, if she's on the ballot there is absolutely no way she's getting close to 15% of the vote.
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