Virginia Governor's Race 2013 -Who's Gonna Win?

[Gass3268]

Sabato's new rating is Leans D.

Damn, that's a huge deal considering we are talking about Virginia.

[Gass3268]

Virginia Beach Mayor Sessoms, a Republican, to endorse Democrat McAuliffe in Va. governor race.

This is the first time he's ever cross-party endorsed.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/gop-virginia-beach-mayor-will-sessoms-to-endorse-democrat-mcauliffe-in-va-governor-race/2013/09/16/60abd3fe-1efa-11e3-9ad0-96244100e647_story.html

[Gass3268]

Virginia Beach mayor Will Sessoms (R) is endorsing McAuliffe.

Five posts up...

[Gass3268]

Yeah, I think people are starting to realize that the alternative is, you know, Terry McAuliffe.

The Cooch makes McAuliffe look like a saint.

[Gass3268]

So get this, Ken Cuccinelli is going to give some remarks at the Family Foundation gala on Sunday. Guess who the main speaper of the event will be? Ted Cruz!

https://familyfoundation.org/gala/

Horrible optics in any state right now, but especially in Virginia. Why would you agree to this during the middle of the shutdown? Does Cuccinelli really want to be attached to the hip with Senator Cruz the for the rest of the campgain?

Terry McAuliffe already has an ad up:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BLDbe9DubIQ

[Gass3268]

It should be noted that the alll these polls were conducted before the shutdown. Should be interesting to see how the mess in Washington affects this race.

[Gass3268]

Denials are starting to come in, so we'll have to see.

[Gass3268]

If I had to guess:
Governor-TOSSUP: this one could go either way and it will depend on how big turnout is in the Old Dominion: if it's low, it helps Cuccinelli, but if it's high: it helps McAuliffe.

Lieutenant Governor-OPEN: Likely Democratic pick-up: Northam beats Jackson, 57-40.

State Attorney General-Too close to call, but I'll take my chances with GOP hold here.

Cuccinelli hasn't been leading a poll in 3 months and it was from the awful Roanoke College poll. Also he's pulled advertisements down and the party has pulled back its money support. This is practically over.

[Gass3268]

Rasmussen is a big outlier it seems, because Quinnipiac has it D+7 today.

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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1968

"It's not over yet..."

"Yeah... it is"

[Gass3268]

DKE moved the race to Likely Dem.

[Gass3268]

Rasmussen is a big outlier it seems, because Quinnipiac has it D+7 today.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1968

"It's not over yet..."

"Yeah... it is"

...I was mocking my infamous comment from 2006, pal.

Wasn't here then, what was the context?

[Gass3268]

Rasmussen is a big outlier it seems, because Quinnipiac has it D+7 today.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1968

"It's not over yet..."

"Yeah... it is"

...I was mocking my infamous comment from 2006, pal.

Wasn't here then, what was the context?

Then you really don't matter.

Ouch

[Gass3268]

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ratings-change-a-democratic-tide-in-virginia/

Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball Changes:

Governor: Lean Dem -> Likely Dem
Lt. Governor: Likely Dem -> Safe Dem
AG: Toss Up -> Lean Dem
House of Delegates: Dem Gain of 6-8 seats

[Gass3268]

I can't wait to see a county map

[Gass3268]

Fox News brought up a poll, claiming Cuccinelli has the mojo going into Tuesday's big election.

If I were McAuliffe, I would NOT want Obama near you because Obamacare is UNPOPULAR.

One, Fox News lol

Two, https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=181521.msg3923029#msg3923029

[Gass3268]

Some early exit polling coming out:

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http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/liveblog-live/liveblog/live-updates-election-day-2013/?id=2581f6e5-ee39-4b0f-9109-b80405fc52f7