I know that sign counting isn't reliable, but Trump support is way higher in northern Macomb county than it was 4 years ago. Doesn't extend as far south as Warren but Shelby Twp and north (comprises most of the county) is shockingly red. Huge Trump rallies on a regular basis. And honestly if you're as far north as Armada, good luck finding more than a dozen Biden voters to rub together.
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So you suspect that North Macomb (Lowest POP % of County) will actually swing Trump in 2020?
Plus voices on the ground indicate that Trump will hold strong in Shelby Township compared to '16?
Any insights into Macomb Township?
Sounds like you live around the joint, what are your overall thoughts when it comes to Exurban Macomb County (Central Belt) vs the more working and middle-class communities in the Southern 3rd of the County (Sterling Heights, St. Claire Shores, Warren, etc...)?
Yessiree I have lived in Macomb for 19 years now. Imo Warren is still solid blue, and St Claire Shores being so close to Detroit will likely go blue as well. I've noticed driving around that there's not a ton of Trump signs down in those areas. But once you get to the middle belt they're everywhere. It wasn't like this in 2016. Entire neighborhoods with Trump signs in every yard. No democrats running for local office. The kind of place where everyone flips off the BLM protestors (feels bad man).
And sure there's the difference between numbers and enthusiasm, and these are mostly my opinions, but I doubt democrats have much of a shot at all north of M-59 (bottom border of Shelby, Clinton). And they don't have enough of a supermajority of Sterling Hts to carry the county. Main thing to understand about most of Macomb is that the tenants of white flight are still insanely present.
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