How will Beshear do in Elliot County?

[Orwell]

And Beshear has won Elliot county, 59-37.

source? NYT, and Politco have it as only 1/7 reporting

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I genuinely think Elliot County will vote to the right of the state at large. I'm thinking it will by 5-10%.

Quote me on this after Tuesday.

BOOM

[Zaybay]

And Beshear has won Elliot county, 59-37.

source? NYT, and Politco have it as only 1/7 reporting

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2019/results/kentucky/governor

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1191883153016807427

Yep, GG no Re.

EDIT:  Why you delete NYT Tweet Miles?

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I genuinely think Elliot County will vote to the right of the state at large. I'm thinking it will by 5-10%.

Quote me on this after Tuesday.

BOOM

Looks like I was completely wrong! Got it wrong by 35%, lol.

I admit I was dumb here!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The only way people can Express dissatisfaction with McConnell is vote D and this will happen next yr again all over the country

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Bevin wins.

Another #bold prediction I have for KY-GOV is that Bevin wins Elliott, as well as every county except Jefferson, Franklin, and Fayette. He'll certainly do worse than Conway there.

As I've noted previously, Hal Rogers won Elliott County by 8% last year, the first time ever in a competitive race that he had carried it. And given the rural trends that we are seeing, I doubt that Beshear will be able to hold it. Yes, Jim Gray won it by 12% in 2016 while Trump was carrying it by 44% at the same time, but the trends had not played out in full force then, nor had the polarizing effects of Trump's first few years in office. Elliott County is abandoning the Democrats even more rapidly than Vermont abandoned the Republicans, to give a parallel (and in some ways, Vermont has not abandoned them fully, given that it currently has a Republican Governor, however much of a RINO he may be).

I’d wager Elliot votes in line with the state roughly, so high single digits Republican win or something about there.

Probably on the wrong side of a plurality to actually win the county.

I genuinely think Elliot County will vote to the right of the state at large. I'm thinking it will by 5-10%.

He will lose it, but by less than Clinton seems the safe answer here.

Loses statewide by 5 and Elliott by low double digits.

Have to give the edge in Elliott to Bevin.

Very happily eating crow about these numbers.

[Dr. MB]

[Calthrina950]

I'm glad to see that Elliott returned to its Democratic roots in force for this race, though we know how it will go next year.

[OSR stands with Israel]

I'm glad to see that Elliott returned to its Democratic roots in force for this race, though we know how it will go next year.

The question is will it go to McConnell

[Calthrina950]

I'm glad to see that Elliott returned to its Democratic roots in force for this race, though we know how it will go next year.

The question is will it go to McConnell

I'm leaning no. I still keep in mind that Hal Rogers won it last year, but I'm now predicting that McConnell will probably win by around Rand Paul's margin next year (as he will run behind Trump by a few percentage points, like Paul did). Given that every single statewide Democratic candidate won Elliott tonight, I would assume that McGrath or whoever else is the nominee should be able to carry it against McConnell.

[morgieb]

I'm glad to see that Elliott returned to its Democratic roots in force for this race, though we know how it will go next year.

The question is will it go to McConnell

Depends on if the Dems are dumb enough to nominate McGrath. If they do I think it honestly might (it is definitely trending right, just that it hasn't fully seeped downballot), if they nominate Jones it should go Dem (and if they nominate Adkins it will go Dem)

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm glad to see that Elliott returned to its Democratic roots in force for this race, though we know how it will go next year.

The question is will it go to McConnell

Yes. Fairly likely Amy "2016 felt like 9/11" McGrath will lose the county but by far less than the Dem presidential candidate.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The most important County for Beshear tomorrow will be Jefferson County. He needs to win that 58-42 or something like that to have a chance maybe even higher.

He needs to get 65%+ to have a chance. He'll probably get >60%, but not the 65-67% that he needs.

He probably needs 70%+ to even get within single digits statewide. KY is more rural than TN, and Bredesen getting 70% in Nashville was only enough to get to 43% of the state vote.

[coolface1572]

Not only did it go dem for Governor, but for every statewide election.

Andy Beshear got 59.1%

All the losing statewide candidates got between 52-53%, except for Heather French Henry for secretary of state who got 57%, and also didn't do as bad statewide.

I don't see Mcconnell winning here unless the dems nominate the worst candidate for rural areas ever.

[Coolface’s actual roommate]

Wow some of these takes aged horribly.

Mitch won it easily.

[Continential]

Not only did it go dem for Governor, but for every statewide election.

Andy Beshear got 59.1%

All the losing statewide candidates got between 52-53%, except for Heather French Henry for secretary of state who got 57%, and also didn't do as bad statewide.

I don't see Mcconnell winning here unless the dems nominate the worst candidate for rural areas ever.

Wow some of these takes aged horribly.

Mitch won it easily.

Good to see that you posted before your sock

[Coolface’s actual roommate]

Not only did it go dem for Governor, but for every statewide election.

Andy Beshear got 59.1%

All the losing statewide candidates got between 52-53%, except for Heather French Henry for secretary of state who got 57%, and also didn't do as bad statewide.

I don't see Mcconnell winning here unless the dems nominate the worst candidate for rural areas ever.

Wow some of these takes aged horribly.

Mitch won it easily.

Good to see that you posted before your sock

My roommate introduced me to this website. He says he was banned from here like 80 times.

[Farmlands]

Not only did it go dem for Governor, but for every statewide election.

Andy Beshear got 59.1%

All the losing statewide candidates got between 52-53%, except for Heather French Henry for secretary of state who got 57%, and also didn't do as bad statewide.

I don't see Mcconnell winning here unless the dems nominate the worst candidate for rural areas ever.

Wow some of these takes aged horribly.

Mitch won it easily.

Good to see that you posted before your sock

My roommate introduced me to this website. He says he was banned from here like 80 times.

Lmao. People here have a fondness for OC, and so do I, but coolface's extended circle of family and friends is my favorite running joke of this website.

[Continential]

Not only did it go dem for Governor, but for every statewide election.

Andy Beshear got 59.1%

All the losing statewide candidates got between 52-53%, except for Heather French Henry for secretary of state who got 57%, and also didn't do as bad statewide.

I don't see Mcconnell winning here unless the dems nominate the worst candidate for rural areas ever.

Wow some of these takes aged horribly.

Mitch won it easily.

Good to see that you posted before your sock

My roommate introduced me to this website. He says he was banned from here like 80 times.

good story bro

[Coolface’s actual roommate]

Not only did it go dem for Governor, but for every statewide election.

Andy Beshear got 59.1%

All the losing statewide candidates got between 52-53%, except for Heather French Henry for secretary of state who got 57%, and also didn't do as bad statewide.

I don't see Mcconnell winning here unless the dems nominate the worst candidate for rural areas ever.

Wow some of these takes aged horribly.

Mitch won it easily.

Good to see that you posted before your sock

My roommate introduced me to this website. He says he was banned from here like 80 times.

good story bro

Not even joking it's true. check my IP for proof.