Quebec Municipal Elections 2013

[MaxQue]

Talking of that, there is a by-election in Rivière-des-Prairies on November 11.

It should be a safe UM hold (was 60-23-17, UM-VM-PM in 2009), but trends could indicate things (or not, given the specific ethnic composition of that area).

I hope they like voting, they voted a lot in previous years, including various by-elections.

2003: Provincial election
2004: Federal election
2005: Municipal election
2006: Federal election
2007: Provincial election
2008: Federal election
2008: Provincial election
2009: Municipal election
2010: Municipal by-election for borough mayor
2011: Federal election
2012: Provincial by-election
2012: Provincial election
2012: Municipal by-election for city councillor
2013(?): Possible federal by-election (Denis Coderre).

[MaxQue]

Safe Liberal area = safe UM seat.

NDG is opposing that comment. They are safe liberal and voted for PM.

[MaxQue]

Safe Liberal area = safe UM seat.

FYI: Rivieres des Prairies elected an NDP MP Paulina Ayala last year

Rivière-des-Prairies is split between Honoré-Mercier (Paulina Ayala, NDP) and Bourassa (Denis Coderre, Liberal)

[MaxQue]

More exactly, Coderre won the part of RDP in his riding by 59 votes.
Rodriguez (defeated Liberal incumbent in Honoré-Mercier) won the part of RDP in his riding by 826 votes. He lost by a large margin because he was crushed in Anjou (French-speaking and upper-class, he finished 3rd, below Bloc and below 20% in many precincts there).

[MaxQue]

I noticed that one of the UM councillors left the party to sit as an independent.

One councillor in the West Island "decided" to leave when the election office sued him for giving 5,000$ in cash to a campaign coordinator.

That's Bertrand Ward, city councillor for the West ward of the Pierrefonds-Roxboro borough.

[MaxQue]

Can any of you Montrealers get mayoral results by district from the last election?

I already saw it, but can't remember where.
EDIT: It was written on the official website of Election Montreal, but was taken down once official results were published.

[MaxQue]

I noticed that one of the UM councillors left the party to sit as an independent.

One councillor in the West Island "decided" to leave when the election office sued him for giving 5,000$ in cash to a campaign coordinator.

That's Bertrand Ward, city councillor for the West ward of the Pierrefonds-Roxboro borough.

Yesterday, Frantz Benjamin, city councillor for Saint-Michel, also left, disgusted by what he learned at Charbonneau.

[MaxQue]

I can't see what data are in the files, but perhaps what you are looking for can be found in files from the open data project.

http://donnees.ville.montreal.qc.ca/categories/election-referendum/

From what I see, there is only the data by precincts, in the txt format, but it should be transformable in a spreadsheet when formulas can the additions to get the results by ward (and by borough, after that). I insist on should, since I'm not sure it's possible to do the txt->spreadsheet transformation. Depends of the form of the data.

Earl, if you don't know how to do that, I can try to do it.

[MaxQue]

In other news, La Presse did research to found who was the replacement mayor, currently, in Montreal. That's Jane Cowell-Poitras, city councillor for Lachine.

[MaxQue]

http://ville.montreal.qc.ca/portal/page?_pageid=8117,89469578&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL&id=83439654

http://blogues.lapresse.ca/avenirmtl/2012/11/01/le-maire-suppleant-de-montreal-non-ce-n%E2%80%99est-pas-zambito%E2%80%A6/

And, in case someone doubt, she is referred as that in a press release from early October:

http://www.newswire.ca/fr/story/1051003/la-serie-les-batisseurs-culturels-montrealais-nouvelle-murale-hommage-a-miyuki-tanobe

[MaxQue]

Jesus, Montreal. How can one district have over 900 polling divisions? That's probably more than all of Ottawa combined.

No ward have 900 polling divisions. The 900 divisions are the anticipation vote, I think.

[MaxQue]

Jesus, Montreal. How can one district have over 900 polling divisions? That's probably more than all of Ottawa combined.

No ward have 900 polling divisions. The 900 divisions are the anticipation vote, I think.

I'm really confused. Do you think you could figure this one out? Because, it looks like it has 900 polls.

The first ward, 101-Est (which is the East ward of the Pierrefonds-Roxboro borough) has 97 normal polls, one poll named 500 (for postal vote) and polls from 901 to 914 for early voting.

[MaxQue]

Various news outlets are reporting than the mayor of Montreal will resign at 7PM, tonight.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/regional/montreal/201211/05/01-4590621-le-maire-tremblay-quittera-la-mairie.php

[MaxQue]

How does it work to replace him? By-election? Or does it fall to a deputy? I think I remember Quebec City having a mayoral by-election a few years ago.

No by-election, as we are less than one year before the next election. To have a by-election, he should have resigned Friday or earlier.

Unless the council decided to call one, anyways. They have 15 days to do that. In other case, it should the suppleant mayor, the Lachine lady, except if the council decides to elect someone else.

[MaxQue]

That's why he delayed. I'm disgusted by how he's posing as the wronged victim here. :mad:

Either he is a wonderful actor, either he is right.

[MaxQue]

How likely is he to end up wearing a pretty new pair of bracelets?

Pretty low. At worse, he knew than there was corruption and did nothing. He doesn't seem to have profited of it at all.

[MaxQue]

I'm surprised he didn't resign tomorrow, to be hidden in the US election news.

[MaxQue]

Radio-Canada is saying than the council must elect a mayor in the 30 next days. Michael Applebaum (president of the executive council, mayor of Côte-des-Neiges--Notre-Dame-de-Grâce) and the 2 vice-presidents of the executive council (Alan DeSousa and Richard Deschamps) would be interested.

http://www.radio-canada.ca/regions/Montreal/2012/11/05/011-gerald_tremblay-demission-maire_de_montreal.shtml

[MaxQue]

Talking of that, there is a by-election in Rivière-des-Prairies on November 11.

It should be a safe UM hold (was 60-23-17, UM-VM-PM in 2009), but trends could indicate things (or not, given the specific ethnic composition of that area).

It should have been an easy UM hold, but, it wasn't.

Vision Montreal gained it by 99 votes.

37-35-39 VM-UM-PM. I think than we can safely say than Union Montréal would be trashed in a real election if they lost there.

Cindy Leclerc (VM): 1884 votes (36.68%)
Nino Colavecchio (UM): 1785 votes (34.75%)
Nathalie Pierre-Antoine (PM): 1467 votes (28.56%)

Turnout of 21.16%

http://election-montreal.qc.ca/actualites/detail/ElectionPartielle_RDP2012_Resultats.fr.html

[MaxQue]

I noticed that one of the UM councillors left the party to sit as an independent.

One councillor in the West Island "decided" to leave when the election office sued him for giving 5,000$ in cash to a campaign coordinator.

That's Bertrand Ward, city councillor for the West ward of the Pierrefonds-Roxboro borough.

Yesterday, Frantz Benjamin, city councillor for Saint-Michel, also left, disgusted by what he learned at Charbonneau.

Giovanni Rapanà, borough councillor for Rivière-des-Prairies, will also sit as an independant

[MaxQue]

I noticed that one of the UM councillors left the party to sit as an independent.

One councillor in the West Island "decided" to leave when the election office sued him for giving 5,000$ in cash to a campaign coordinator.

That's Bertrand Ward, city councillor for the West ward of the Pierrefonds-Roxboro borough.

Yesterday, Frantz Benjamin, city councillor for Saint-Michel, also left, disgusted by what he learned at Charbonneau.

Giovanni Rapanà, borough councillor for Rivière-des-Prairies, will also sit as an independant

Frank Venneri, city councillor for François-Perrault (Southern St.Michel) left Union Montreal. He seems to be upset than Applebaum lost the internal vote for mayor.

EDIT: Alain Tassé, borough councillor for Desjardins-Crawford (Western Verdun) left also the party. Apparently, much of that is about the tax rise.

With all that (but the borough councillors aren't sitting on the city council), medias are reporting than Union Montréal lost its majority.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/regional/montreal/201211/14/01-4593697-union-montreal-perd-sa-majorite.php

Susan Clark, city councillor for Loyola (Western NDG) and Lionel Perez, city councillor for Darlington (Northern Côte-des-Neiges) are leaving, too.

Probably related to Applebaum, again, as he is the Côte-des-Neiges--Notre-Dame-de-Grâce borough mayor.

EDIT2: Applebaum left, too.

[MaxQue]

Talking of that, there is a by-election in Rivière-des-Prairies on November 11.

It should be a safe UM hold (was 60-23-17, UM-VM-PM in 2009), but trends could indicate things (or not, given the specific ethnic composition of that area).

It should have been an easy UM hold, but, it wasn't.

Vision Montreal gained it by 99 votes.

37-35-39 VM-UM-PM. I think than we can safely say than Union Montréal would be trashed in a real election if they lost there.

Cindy Leclerc (VM): 1884 votes (36.68%)
Nino Colavecchio (UM): 1785 votes (34.75%)
Nathalie Pierre-Antoine (PM): 1467 votes (28.56%)

Turnout of 21.16%

http://election-montreal.qc.ca/actualites/detail/ElectionPartielle_RDP2012_Resultats.fr.html

Sad that PM finished third. But I guess it's not a very left wing area.

They voted for Liberals over NDP in 2011 and PQ and CAQ were almost tied there, in September. It's ethnic and suburban.

[MaxQue]

The collapse continue.

The leader of Union Montreal, Marvin Rotrand, city councillor for Snowdon (western Côte-des-Neiges) left the party to become an independant and vote for Applebaum.

For the same reasons, Ginette Marotte, city councillor for Champlain-Nuns Island (eastern Verdun) and Daniel Bélanger, city councillor for Saint-Paul--Émard (western of the Southwest borough) left.

Also, Christian G. Dubois, city councillor for Bois-de-Liesse (known as the East ward of Pierrefonds-Roxboro at last election) left the caucus, without leaving the party.

In other news, Vision Montreal will present no candidate for the mayor office tomorrow.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/regional/montreal/201211/15/01-4594181-interim-marvin-rotrand-appuie-michael-applebaum.php

[MaxQue]

Looks like Coderre will have to found a new party. But then again Drapeau's party also imploded when he left. These things are personality cults and not much more.

Well, one week ought to be a record.

[MaxQue]

Tremblay's PLQ- he used to be a Bourassa minister. UM is mostly PLQ types, VM is led by a Peq, and PM has no affiliation. But no, we don't use explicitly partisan affiliations like in the US or UK.

But former VM leader was in ADQ, the ancestror of CAQ.
PM members are often members of NDP and/or QS or various fringe left-wing provicial parties (Greens, UCQ...).