PRE-ELECTION CHATTER THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES)

[Keystone Phil]

Are any black people voting today?

Philadelphia turnout is apparently lower than usual with machine problems, too.

http://www.mcall.com/news/breaking/mc-web-election-polls-20101102,0,6807746.story
Voter turnout higher than expected in Lehigh Valley.

Great news for Toomey.

[Keystone Phil]

http://www.mcall.com/news/breaking/mc-web-election-polls-20101102,0,6807746.story
Voter turnout higher than expected in Lehigh Valley.

Great news for Toomey.

Because he used to represent the district? They also said Allentown turnout seemed to be up in the article, and that's an area Sestak should win.

Yeah, he used to represent the district and remains popular there. Allentown turnout being higher, however, might just offset that.

[Keystone Phil]

I've also been hearing what J.J. noticed.

Rendell and Casey are walking around and telling random black people in Philly to vote, apparently.

http://blogs.mcall.com/penn_ave/2010/11/rendell-to-philly-voters-gop-trying-to-screw-the-president.html

The bit at the end about people seeming to be more firmly behind Sestak than Onorato is interesting (not exactly surprising though).

You mean that Onorato sounds like the type of guy who might lock them up in jail if they stray too far from their area?

Here's why Onorato will lag when it comes to black support: Corbett has the backing of some black clergy groups. In fact, I have some friends in the field today that noticed Sestak and Onorato being "pushed" (that's our word for emphasizing certain candidates) at polling places in North Philly.

[Keystone Phil]

Rendell and Casey are walking around and telling random black people in Philly to vote, apparently.

This was yesterday, by the way, though I'm sure they are out doing the same today.

[Keystone Phil]

Muhlenberg Exit Poll in PA from 7-10 AM:

Toomey - 51%

Sestak - 47%


I'm thinking this was just a rounding error since 2% of voters clearly aren't writing someone in for this race.

[Keystone Phil]

Muhlenberg Exit Poll in PA from 7-10 AM:

Toomey - 51%

Sestak - 47%


I'm thinking this was just a rounding error since 2% of voters clearly aren't writing someone in for this race.

Uh... ? That'd be pretty decent for Sestak, no? Democrats tend to come out at night...

No, Republicans usually do.

And realize that this poll was only for 7-10 AM. These are usually the best hours for the Dems.

[Keystone Phil]

Yeah, that exit poll better not be from PA 15 because Toomey is supposed to have strong numbers out of the region.

[Keystone Phil]

Are we getting any turnout from across PA?

MSNBC just said that Phila was doing about the same as 2006 (which was my conclusion).

They think it helps Sestack.  I think he needs more than 2006 to win this one.

I think Brady said they need 400,000 votes out of Philadelphia this year. They received about 360,000 in 2006.

Are we getting any turnout from across PA?

I heard things are very good for us.

[Keystone Phil]

According to two sources (one being a respected, non-partisan Philly watchdog group), only two precincts in Philadelphia are reporting turnout over 30%.

[Keystone Phil]

According to two sources (one being a respected, non-partisan Philly watchdog group), only two precincts in Philadelphia are reporting turnout over 30%.

It should be higher than that, based on my count, but probably mid to upper 30's in Black precincts.

Apparently, the Committee of 70 was sampling all of the divisions in the city so I think I'll trust their count. 

[Keystone Phil]

60% Republican turnout in Bucks county. Huge numbers for Republicans in Butler and Washington counties.