who do you THINK will win the Republican nomination? (user search)
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  who do you THINK will win the Republican nomination? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: who do you THINK will win the Republican nomination?  (last Intrade transaction price in brackets)
#1
Rudy Giuliani [44.8]
 
#2
Mitt Romney [27.0]
 
#3
Mike Huckabee [8.3]
 
#4
John McCain [7.0]
 
#5
Ron Paul [6.0]
 
#6
Fred Thompson [5.3]
 
#7
Condoleeza Rice [2.0]
 
#8
Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 48

Author Topic: who do you THINK will win the Republican nomination?  (Read 10477 times)
The Duke
JohnD.Ford
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,270


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: -1.23

« on: November 29, 2007, 02:21:11 AM »

If I had to bet on who wins, I'd say this:

Huckabee's rise in Iowa is like McCain's New Hampshire rise in 2000.  It seems to come late and out of nowhere, but for people who understand these states its not a huge shock.  Huckabee was born to do well in the state that almost voted for Pat Robertson in 1988.  Huckabee wins Iowa.

This event shocks the Romney campaign.  It goes down in flames.  Giuliani wins New Hampshire.

With Romney out, Giuliani wins Michigan.

Four days later, Giuliani wins Nevada and Huckabee wins South Carolina.

Then Giuliani wins Florida.

Giuliani rolls on Uber Tuesday.
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