who do you THINK will win the Republican nomination?

[© tweed]

historically...

May 2006

George Allen 40.6%
John McCain 31.9%
Mitt Romney 8.7%
Rudy Giuliani 8.7%
Other 8.7%

August 2006

John McCain 39.5%
George Allen 21.1%
Mitt Romney 13.2%
Rudy Giuliani 13.2%
Other (excl. Rice) 13.2%

November 2006

John McCain 46.2%
Mitt Romney 23.1%
Rudy Giuliani 15.4%
Mike Huckabee 7.7%
Newt Gingrich 7.7%


March 2007

Rudy Giuliani 45.7%
John McCain 28.6%
Mike Huckabee 11.4%
Mitt Romney 5.7%
Sam Brownback 2.9%
Other (excl. Gingrich) 5.7%

April 2007

Fred Thompson 46.9%
Rudy Giuliani 26.5%
Mitt Romney 12.2%
John McCain 10.2%
Other (excl. Gingrich, Hagel) 4.1%

June 2007

Fred Thompson 34.2%
Rudy Giuliani 31.6%
Mitt Romney 21.1%
John McCain 5.3%
Mike Huckabee 5.3%
Ron Paul 2.6%

July 2007

Mitt Romney 40.9%
Rudy Giuliani 34.1%
Fred Thompson 22.7%
John McCain 2.3%

August 2007

Mitt Romney 42.6%
Rudy Giuliani 31.1%
Mike Huckabee 16.4%
Fred Thompson 4.9%
Ron Paul 4.9%

September 2007

Mitt Romney 52.4%
Rudy Giuliani 31%
Ron Paul 9.5%
Fred Thompson 4.8%
John McCain 2.4%

October 2007

Mitt Romney 44.9%
Rudy Giuliani 30.6%
Mike Huckabee 10.2%
Ron Paul 6.1%
Condoleeza Rice 4.1%
John McCain 2%
Fred Thompson 2%

[© tweed]

Mitt more than ever...

.. the Huckabee surge in Iowa is a cause for concern, because Mitt getting beat there looks bad... but Huck isn't going to win NH and a distant fourth or whatever for Rudy in Iowa is going to look even worse unless he 'officially' gives up on Iowa, ala McCain 2000.  but that's unlikely because it's been revealed his campaign is still doing some things behind-the-scenes and still think they can do will.

Iowa is Mitt by 5, Rudy in low teens...
NH is Mitt raping everyone
MI is inconclusive/Rudy by a hair, but after IA/NH I think Mitt will win
somehow Mitt is pulling into leadish territory in SC...

it goes on and on... even one of Rudy's safety nets (Florida) isn't so safe anymore.  Rudy will still perform well in NY/NJ/maybe CA on Feb, but not as well as he should and he's in a great deal of trouble that nobody in the media will acknowledge.  because, reporting anything bad about our 9/11 Saviour is tantamount to treason...

Mitt over Rudy over Huckabee, rest insignificant.

[© tweed]

also, MSM's annointation of Rudy as the Republican nominee is going to make his IA destruction look even worse.  when the results show something like Mitt 40% Huck 30% Rudy 15%, people will wonder who the f*** these two clowns are that beat Saviour Rudy and how that's possible and how the Saviour got so badly murdered.

[© tweed]

a little bump to try to squeeze out more votes because it's historically important.

[© tweed]

This shows maybe we should just pick however leads in mid-2010

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=65368.0