How much will soon-to-be re-elected Governor Bevin win by? I'm guessing about 10%, which is pathetic for a Republican in Kentucky, but about as well as Democrats can hope to do these days. I know many people here want to believe the most recent poll, but Governor Conway and Senator Grimes can attest to how accurate Kentucky polling is, especially early polling. And to those who say that surely Kentucky polls will be right this time, people said the same thing about Nevada, and how well did that work out for Senator Heck, Still-Senator UTDH and Governor Laxalt?
10% seems reasonable to me. This could end up being a redux of 2014, when it appeared that McConnell was "in danger" and he ended up winning by 16%. Kentucky is too far gone for the Democrats, as KY-06 showed last year, and I predict that Republicans will sweep all of the statewide offices.
Poll
