If Corzine loses and remains Senator, would Tom Keane Jr. still be the favorite to win that seat? Or would he only have a shot at an open seat?
If Corzine blows this, Kean can beat Corzine. Kean is a stronger candidate than Forrester.
They had some poll with Kerry up only around 6 points in NY.
Quinnipiac is much more accurate when it comes to state level races.
But its also a different office. My experience is that personality counts more for executive office and ideology counts more for legislative office. New Jersey has had Republican Governors, but not many Republican Senators for example.