Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Hollywood]

I have a theory why Rs are still trailing in Gov polls, they are obstructing VR, insurrection and the Debt Ceiling

Boehner tried that in 2011 and it cost Romney the WH, as R Congressional Approvals are abysmal

Polls indicate that people aren't interested in VR and the Debt Ceiling.  I imagine some people care about the riot in Washington D.C., but the most important issues on the minds of voters are Coronavirus, Economy, Employment, and Immigration.  Handling of the coronavirus is probably the most significant issue that is directly related to Gubernatorial office. 

The main reason Republicans aren't doing well in these Gubernatorial races is due to the fact that they aren't competing in many of the Blue areas.  In a state like Virginia, they don't even try to compete for some of the Delegate seats. 

Romney lost cause Obama was a popular President that straddled the line between different factions of his own party.  He worked with the establishment coalition in D.C., and came through on some liberal issues.  He was likable.  Romney wasn't that likable.  He was your prototypical establishment Neocon and corporate elite that kept repeating the same BS Republican talking points.  He also ran a bad campaign that appealed to the wrong votes. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Voters overwhelmingly want another 1400 checks and Ro Khanna, Bernie and Warren already said they were open to it


But, Tester, Manchin and Sinema said there are 8M unemployed and 11M job openings and we're gonna derail another UBI or 300 Unemployment extension and SSA people are getting a 6% increase on their checks in 2022


 That's why Biden was at 59% when 1400 checks were passed in March that's why also Biden is at 45%

That's why I won't donate, I will root for D's but no way will I will donate to them until 2024

They also said during the Cares Act SSA people were gonna get a 200 extension and never got one

[wbrocks67]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Sep. 15-16, 1005 adults

Approve 44 (-3)
Disapprove 50 (+4)

Isn't this one not prone to wild swings? Though I expect it to pull a YouGov and bounce back next week.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I do You Gov polls and voters are alot pessimistic but Biden isn't underwater in Approvals it's more like 50/45%, the Exact Approvals he had on Election night that's why we lead in 304 blue wall and won Cali and will win VA

It's a 304 map not a 268 or ,375 map

Because if Biden was underwater T Mac would be losing and Cali recall would have been alot closer 51/45%

Biden as I said was at 59% when 1400 checks, but UBI payments have been cancelled

And 3.5T is on Hold and infrastructure until Debt ceiling is increased

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's can win NC, FL or OH, but, it's not good to over donate to wave insurance candidates because as we learned from 2020 polls can be misleading, VlBiden was leading on the final weekend of polling on WI poll in OH

If you donate 100 or less fine, but donating above that, you should always be mindful that UBI checks lifted everyone out of poverty, we don't know what to expect next Nov, when Congress won't lift the debt ceiling and it's all Simema and Manchin fault, obviously, they told party leaders they won't vote for a Debt Ceiling increase on Reconciliation otherwise Pelosi would have put it in the Bill and avoid default


There won't be any more spending bills passed Yellen said until debt ceiling is increased

The Govt said it will still pay SSA during default though

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Sep. 15-16, 1005 adults

Approve 44 (-3)
Disapprove 50 (+4)

Isn't this one not prone to wild swings? Though I expect it to pull a YouGov and bounce back next week.

Yes, it can be fairly bouncy.

[pbrower2a]

Lol trash

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Sep. 15-16, 1005 adults

Approve 44 (-3)
Disapprove 50 (+4)

All polls, especially those involving the consequences of an offensive but (for most Americans) a transitory event, go obsolete.  Just watch the next ones. It's thirteen and a half months before the midterm and over three years until the 2024 election. 

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I think there's an outside chance he can still recover. Some of the doomers are too pessimistic.

Yes, we know. You've said this multiple times.

[pbrower2a]

I think there's an outside chance he can still recover. Some of the doomers are too pessimistic.

It's more than an outside chance. I've seen 20% edges disappear within a year. I remember analysis from early 2009 suggesting that Senator Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) would be re-elected. She ended up losing by about 17%, indicating that the political reality had changed greatly between early 2009 and the 2010 general election.

We do not know whether Joe Biden will be the nominee and if he is, who will be the opponent. Thee are just too many (to put the pitiable words of the late Donald Rumsfeld to use) "known unknowns and unknown unknowns" for anyone to say anything definitive about the 2024 election except its date.   

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Election is a yr away and Rs aren't gonna crack the 304 blue wall anyways, our want insurance seats are to keep the H, and Rs on newsnax and Fox news keep praising Proud Boys

Ryan and Demings and hopefully Kanderess candidate  Kunce instead of Beasley whom endorsed the Filibuster can win, OH and FL are tied

[BG-NY]

The Election is a yr away and Rs aren't gonna crack the 304 blue wall anyways, our want insurance seats are to keep the H, and Rs on newsnax and Fox news keep praising Proud Boys

Ryan and Demings and hopefully Kanderess candidate  Kunce instead of Beasley whom endorsed the Filibuster can win, OH and FL are tied

Why do you want Oh to go dem and GA to go GOP so badly? I don't understand. Did you prefer the coalitions from the 90s-00s to the present day? Keep in mind Bill Clinton also won GA and lost FL once.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ITS 14 MNTHS TIL THE ELECTION, THE RS HAVENT SOLIDIFIED ANYTHING YET, I BELIEVE IN WAVES

SINEMA AND MANCHIN BLOCKING FILIBUSTER REFORM, WE CANT GO ANOTHER ELECTION CYCLE ALLOWING THE RS to dictate their terms with sham Filibuster

53 votes plus the H gets us Statehood, the 2024 cycle is iffy for D's if we don't get wave insurance seats in the Senate

Do you think in 14 mnths or 1500 days till next Prez Election that Biden Approvals are gonna be stuck at 45%,. NOT, HE ISNT TRUMPIANS


304 map is our base, bits it's not the end all be all, OH, IA, NC and FL were won by Biden and Obama in 2008/12 not 1992/1996


Floor 304

Ceiling 413

Rs keep praising Proud Boys

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah and Rassy has Trump ahead ,50/47, that was FAKE NEWS, it's NEWS WORTHY IF AN INC isS AT 50% HE NEVER LOSES AN ELECTION SAME WITH CONGRESS, IF DS ARE AT 50% AND THEY LEAD GENERIC BALLOT, THEY'RE MORE LIKELY THAN NOT TO KEEP THE TRIFECTA

D's have been ahead the whole time on the Generic ballot, it doesn't really matter about 304 blue wall because Cook just downgraded R chances in H and 53 Senate seats isn't impossible either, OH and FL are within 3 pts DeSantis came back from six down to Gillium during the debates

So can Demings, Crist and Ryan and I am hoping Kunce gets in like Lander, Beasley six, she supports Fillibuster

Decorated Marine Vet

[pbrower2a]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Not bad for President Biden under the circumstances.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Oh wow.

So much for your 304 blue map, McCounghey leads Abbott 44(35% and Beto moves closed, 304 isn't the end all he all, Ryan can win


https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2021/09/19/abbotts-right-turn-deflates-gop-rivals-but-opens-door-for-orourke-mcconaughey-newsut-tyler-poll/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Your map in TX is right McCounghey leads Greg Abbott by nine
Not bad for President Biden under the circumstances.

Rs can lose House seats in TX

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I said it's the Floor, not the Ceiling and anything can happen in 14 mnths, Obama wasn't even leading in CO let alone OH until the Economic collapse in Sept 2008 and we won 376 EC votes, we were behind in the H in 2017/ and won 33 H seats in 2018, a blue wave can happen, it doesn't happen a yr prior to the Election no ways, we won those seats on debates and Advertising, Aug and Oct of the Election yr

You will see next yr when we get 53 seats and keep the H and  we surpass your 304 little map  and win more, and get DC statehood

We can't let another Election cycle go by with Sinema and Manchin controlling the Filibuster, Tester, Fetterman and Ryan are ready now to get Statehood but the Election hasn't happened yet

[pbrower2a]

Texas, UT-Tyler for the Dallas Morning News:

An obsolete poll bites the dust. 40 approval 52 disapproval. Huge undecided.


https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2021/09/19/abbotts-right-turn-deflates-gop-rivals-but-opens-door-for-orourke-mcconaughey-newsut-tyler-poll/

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

white: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Biden Approvals are 50/48 it matches his Election night numbers of 50745 it's a 304 map with GA going to a Runoff, but still hopeful of a wave



AZ is going D, Kelly leads by nine

That's why I am rooting for D's but won't donate, we know how it went last time, be careful about donations, I dished out alot of cash to Bullock and he lost anyways


Some users have Charles Booker Endorsements, LOL

The same can be said about Ryan and Demings, Beasley hurt herself by coming out for the Filibuster

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Not really if it's the same 304 map as before the Ds lose the H in 2022/ S in 2024 due to the Filibuster but Biden can get Reelected because OH, WVA and MT would be lost in 2024 and Casey, Baldwin, STABENOW, Klobuchar, Kaine certify the EC battleground

After 2022 it can be a 220RH and 52 or 51 D S and net lose OH, WVA and MT that's 48 Seats, but D's can win Senate back in 2026 winning GA, IA, ME and NC

Obama won in 2012 with an R H, but it's Manchin and Sinema fault they won't get rid of Filibuster on VR and Debt Ceiling and Minimum wage, we can sail the 4=7T package they without 60 votes on Debt ceiling


That's a 50/45 Scenario and Biden is at 50/48 Approvals, the Neutral cycle, but if it's a D wave then all bets are off on 2024( and DC Statehood

I just say don't donate too much money to wave insurance candidates look what happened to Bullock in 2020, he was expected to win and he LOST, like some users are endorsing Charles Booker, Cheri Beasley and Demings

[wbrocks67]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Given the CA result, this seems realistic. Biden being even nationally lines up with what we're seeing. Stuff like -12 in TX and even the 46/51 in Virginia seem like outliers, even if Biden was down 2-3 nationally.

[Devils30]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Given the CA result, this seems realistic. Biden being even nationally lines up with what we're seeing. Stuff like -12 in TX and even the 46/51 in Virginia seem like outliers, even if Biden was down 2-3 nationally.

Yep, Biden at +26 instead of +19 in CA is more consistent with the results.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Link to the poll?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fox News; (9/12-9/15)

Approve; 50% (-3)
Disapprove; 49% (+3)

Link to the poll?

https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2021/09/Fox_September-12-15_National_Topline_September-19-Release.pdf

We also have strong approval/disapproval at 25 (-3) / 36 (nc).  The previous poll was August 7-10.