absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[Fusionmunster]

Pollsters may be in for a rude awakening come Tuesday.

[Fusionmunster]

Michael McDonald
‏@ElectProject
NC #earlyvote indicates Trump lead. Sizable increase in unaffiliated early voters wildcard

Thats a cop out.

"If you ignore this number, than im pretty sure republicans are ahead"

[Fusionmunster]

http://www.oldnorthstatepolitics.com/

Last day for early voting in North Carolina;
Dem early vote same as 2012
Rep early vote UP 14 %
Unaffiliated UP 43 %
Black vote DOWN 8 % from 2012 ( 59,000 votes )
White vote UP 19 %
Hispanics vote too low to make a difference.
NC is done. All Trump territory.

Nope.

[Fusionmunster]

Hillary's not going to lose Michigan because a bunch of people decided to vote in person instead of mailing in there absentee ballot.

[Fusionmunster]

Colorado Update


GOP takes the lead this weekend and leads 35.2%-34.8%. At this point in time in 2014, the GOP had a lead of 110,000 ballots. 56.6% of all ballots have been returned

As of Sunday - 2016 v 2014. (2014 in parenthesis)

Democrats  645,020 (446,448)
Republicans  652,380 (558,966)
Independent 527,706 (359,496)

TOTAL 1,852,029 (1,379,562)

Dem turnout up 44%
Rethuglican turnout up 17%
Independent turnout up 47%

Total turnout up 34%

why compare to 2014 and not 2012?
Dems dont turn out for midterms

Because dems kept the governorship in 2014.