NC-Rasmussen: Dole leads Hagan by 20

[Adlai Stevenson]

No way are Dole's favourables that high; I've decided that Rasmussen's formula might lean a little too Republican - like that suspect Colorado poll that showed Schaffer leading Udall and was the only one of its kind.  Dole's approvals are not over 50%, nor is she yet attracting 50% of the vote.  I would say her average approval was about 45%, and she leads Hagan by something like 10% and Neal by 12%-15%, both under 50%. 

[Adlai Stevenson]

I think the closer we get to the election and the more people learn about the cadidates the closer the race will get.

Funny, the opposite seems to be happening.

Liddy Dole won't lose re-election in 2008 and by the way the polls are going she'll win big, especially if Hagan and Neal are running. Though if Mike Easely casts his hat into the ring her seat, Liddy's lead will decline drastically and her seat could well end up in the hands of the Democrats for the first time since the days of Everett Jordan.

How would you classify 'big' as a win.  Bigger than the 54%-45% she won by in 2002?  Because that doesn't seem likely to me even with either Hagan or Neal running.