Rate Montana for Senate (user search)
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May 05, 2024, 12:52:53 AM
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  Rate Montana for Senate (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who will win
#1
Bullock		  
#2
Daines		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 85

Author Topic: Rate Montana for Senate  (Read 4100 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,283
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: May 19, 2020, 03:38:31 PM »
« edited: May 19, 2020, 04:19:57 PM by Virginiá »
Anyway, I’d guess Daines by about 3, but Bullock has a chance.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,283
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: May 27, 2020, 12:08:48 AM »
« Edited: May 27, 2020, 12:20:58 AM by Xing »
While I'd give Daines a slight edge right now, I don't think this can really be compared to TN-SEN 2018 or IN-SEN 2016. Democrats have a far better track record in MT than IN and TN (even in presidential years, with the Republican Presidential Candidate winning by double digits), and Bullock is far more popular in his state than Bayh or Bredesen were when they were running. Bullock could run a lackluster campaign and do worse than expected, sure, but I wouldn't start out with that assumption. I'm sticking with my Daines +3 prediction, though I'd probably sooner modify his margin down rather than up.
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