Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[BigSerg]

Let's take a trip back in time...

Last polls of 2017 election

Monmouth University D+3
IMGE Insights (R) D +1
Change Research D+1
Quinnipiac University D+9
Emerson College D+3
Washington Post D + 8
Suffolk D+4  (bad sign for McAuliffe)

I look forward to seeing a Quinnipiac poll

[BigSerg]

Wapo gives Terrance mcawfuliffe 4 Pinocchios for repeatedly inflating covid threat in the commonwealth

https://mobile.twitter.com/MattWolking/status/1452972964551475206

This fear mongering is a sign of a flailing campaign. Could Dems really not find anyone better?

Youngkin has literally been fear mongering this entire campaign...

They are really desperate for talking points on this.  It's going to be hilarious to read this forum when Youngkin loses.

Given that T-Mac is "more vulnerable than Tester" I guess when Youngkin loses it means the Dem senate is safe for 4 years!

Dude, even wbrocks67 seems more reasonable to me than you

[BigSerg]

I remember a lot of democratic anxiety over the race around this time in 2017. Looking at polls from this time four years ago they were also very close and leaning looks up the guy Gillespie.
 

Let's take a trip back in time...

Last polls of 2017 election

Monmouth University D+3
IMGE Insights (R) D +1
Change Research D+1
Quinnipiac University D+9
Emerson College D+3
Washington Post D + 8
Suffolk D+4  (bad sign for McAuliffe)

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/GlennKesslerWP/status/1453427317800411139?s=20

[BigSerg]

Wait, Trump actually can't be going to VA right? Is he really going to sabotage Youngkin's campaign?

Even the "talk" of Trump coming reinserts himself into this campaign.

https://twitter.com/TayFromCA/status/1453452631276404742

No, "soon" does not mean that he will go immediately to campaign

[BigSerg]

A Trump rally in NOVA is the OPPOSITE of what Youngkin needs. We are six days away. He needs to not tie himself to someone so despised if he wants to keep the margins respectable there.

There will be no rally, Trump will be in Georgia on the 30th and 31st, it is simply logistically impossible. "Soon" does not mean immediately.

[BigSerg]

Wait, Trump actually can't be going to VA right? Is he really going to sabotage Youngkin's campaign?

Even the "talk" of Trump coming reinserts himself into this campaign.

https://twitter.com/TayFromCA/status/1453452631276404742

The most absurd fact is it seems they plan on having it in Arlington. As in, the city that last voted Republican in 1980 and 4 out of 5 people voted against him. That’ll go over like a lead balloon

Very true. The big question is does it happen before the election?

No.

As for the timing of any potential rally – strike Saturday. Sources close to the former president indicate that Trump will be in Atlanta, Georgia that evening to attend game four of Major League Baseball’s World Series, between the Atlanta Braves and the Houston Astros.

[BigSerg]

Wow the blue avatars (and the obvious GOPers using green avatars) really seem panicked about this Trump article.  Nice to see.

All it takes is for some vague message from Trump about Virginia for people here to lose their mind and rationality. Yes, that's totally going to move the race 10 points towards the Democrats overnight. Safe D now (well, a lot of you believe that anyway).

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/marcussimon/status/1453511512144945155?s=20

[BigSerg]

Quinnipiac was the only pollster to get the 2017 election results right, you can scoff, but I would look closely at their numbers.

[BigSerg]

My Quinnipiac poll prediction: McAuliffe+4

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/lion_politics/status/1453543666409254914?s=20

[BigSerg]

VIRGINIA Biden Job Approval VCU:

Approve 41%
Disapprove 54%

VIRGINIA Biden Job Approval Suffolk:

Approve 42%
Disapprove 52%

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1453742293052051463
https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1453744369543094272

I've always said McAuliffe +2

[BigSerg]

There will be no rally in Virginia, Trump was referring to "telephone rallies" and not a "campaign rally".

https://twitter.com/lion_politics/status/1453828521957154816?s=20

https://twitter.com/UNATCOHillaryPC/status/1453827379294572546?s=20

[BigSerg]

What will the narrative be if Youngkin wins?

Standard midterm elections

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/lion_politics/status/1453839610090598416?s=20

[BigSerg]

Wtf bruh!!!!!

https://twitter.com/lion_politics/status/1453844564448579584?s=20

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/MattWolking/status/1453845101604745226?s=20

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/lion_politics/status/1453857652895801349?s=20

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1453848626996949015?s=20

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/guypbenson/status/1453868292179959812?s=20

[BigSerg]

Desperation...
https://twitter.com/TerryMcAuliffe/status/1453871622734163994?s=20

[BigSerg]

If Terry does lose, does it indicate more of a bad State and National environment for Dems or is Terry legitimately a horrible candidate?

The message whether he wins or loses is that the Democratic Party needs to immediately drop everything that's associated with gated-community, college professor liberalism and develop an inclusive platform that revolves around job security and affordable healthcare and, most of all, presents the stance that "The personal is not political." I've been saying this for so long as has everyone who doesn't live in Beverly Hills, and why the Democrats haven't figured this out yet is beyond me. If Democrats had declined to walk down the path of being the party of social engineering, we never would've had Trump and we also wouldn't have seen the comically extreme decline that the Democrats have had in every single rural and exurban county nationwide.

All that said, I still find this Fox poll tough to believe, and also don't forget, if Youngkin wins by a point or two, the +8 poll would still be a bit dreadful even if it falls on the winning side. We'll see.

Obviously this poll is bullsh**t haha but the democrats have real problems.

[BigSerg]

Take it with a grain of salt, but I was just told that Quinnipiac has horrible data for Biden/McAuliffe. They may be trolling me, but I'll just say this.