Regarding Herman Cain ...
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Poll
Question: Do you think that Herman Cain will suffer from the Bradley effect ?
#1
Only during the primaries		  
#2
Only in the general election		  
#3
In both		  
#4
No, he won't/Hard to say		  
#5
We'll never know because he drops out right after IA or NH		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 35

Author Topic: Regarding Herman Cain ...  (Read 1115 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 04, 2011, 04:13:35 PM »
What do you think ?

Or will he perform so poorly that he drops out right after IA or NH ?
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I Am Feeblepizza.
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« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2011, 04:22:23 PM »
Didn't Obama's election pretty much disprove the validity of the Bradley effect?

In any case, I voted "No he won't/Hard to say".
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2011, 04:58:42 PM »
Quote from: President Herman Cain on October 04, 2011, 04:22:23 PM
Didn't Obama's election pretty much disprove the validity of the Bradley effect?

In any case, I voted "No he won't/Hard to say".

You didn't see the disparity between polling and results in several Southern states (at least WV)?
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I Am Feeblepizza.
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« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2011, 05:50:10 PM »
« Edited: October 04, 2011, 05:57:52 PM by President Herman Cain »
Quote from: Hubert H. Humphrey Revivalist on October 04, 2011, 04:58:42 PM
Quote from: President Herman Cain on October 04, 2011, 04:22:23 PM
Didn't Obama's election pretty much disprove the validity of the Bradley effect?

In any case, I voted "No he won't/Hard to say".

You didn't see the disparity between polling and results in several Southern states (at least WV)?

Obama lost WV by just over 13%. Polls always showed him coming within 1-13% of McCain, with one (ARG) poll giving him an 8% margin of victory.
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Penelope
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« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2011, 05:51:57 PM »
Quote from: Hubert H. Humphrey Revivalist on October 04, 2011, 04:58:42 PM
Quote from: President Herman Cain on October 04, 2011, 04:22:23 PM
Didn't Obama's election pretty much disprove the validity of the Bradley effect?

In any case, I voted "No he won't/Hard to say".

You didn't see the disparity between polling and results in several Southern states (at least WV)?

More like the Clinton effect.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2011, 06:25:43 PM »
No, I'm not convinced that the effect is really all that prevalent in elections.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2011, 03:27:33 AM »
Man oh man would he do awful among hispanics...
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shua
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2011, 02:08:21 PM »
I don't think there is a Bradley effect in a multi-candidate race.
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jmfcst
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2011, 02:09:34 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 05, 2011, 03:27:33 AM
Man oh man would he do awful among hispanics...

with Rubio on the ticket?
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Paul Kemp
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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2011, 02:30:52 PM »
I want J.J.'s opinion.
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jmfcst
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2011, 02:34:45 PM »

why JJ?
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Torie
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« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2011, 02:36:47 PM »
No. I mean that. Really.
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The_Texas_Libertarian
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« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2011, 02:39:40 PM »
He could easily have a "reverse-bradley" effect.  There may be a enough people the GOP base who want to vote for him just because he is black to dispel notions that the GOP is racist (which they aren't)
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2011, 03:07:19 PM »
Quote from: jmfcst on October 05, 2011, 02:09:34 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 05, 2011, 03:27:33 AM
Man oh man would he do awful among hispanics...

with Rubio on the ticket?

We Hispanics won't flock to Cain just because Rubio is on the ticket. We aren't that shallow.
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shua
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« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2011, 03:17:31 PM »
Quote from: TXMichael on October 05, 2011, 02:39:40 PM
He could easily have a "reverse-bradley" effect.  There may be a enough people the GOP base who want to vote for him just because he is black to dispel notions that the GOP is racist (which they aren't)
Bradley effect isn't who you vote for, it's the difference between who you say you are going to vote for and who you actually do.
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