2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191509 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« on: December 29, 2019, 03:19:09 PM »
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on December 29, 2019, 02:30:15 PM
It's not the DNC's fault if these universities and news organizations don't make polls.
It is to a certain extent, considering that they designated only these (usually reliable) pollsters to count towards the debate, especially when one considers that there are reputable pollsters like MC that are excluded.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 29, 2019, 05:25:57 PM »
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on December 29, 2019, 05:16:34 PM
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on December 29, 2019, 03:19:09 PM
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on December 29, 2019, 02:30:15 PM
It's not the DNC's fault if these universities and news organizations don't make polls.
It is to a certain extent, considering that they designated only these (usually reliable) pollsters to count towards the debate, especially when one considers that there are reputable pollsters like MC that are excluded.

Morning Consult's poll isn't a real poll.  They are using the same pool of people for every iteration and just tracking how those people change their minds.  That is why the numbers are always the same.
Fair, but the point still stands.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 29, 2019, 09:17:49 PM »
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on December 29, 2019, 06:01:54 PM
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on December 29, 2019, 05:25:57 PM
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on December 29, 2019, 05:16:34 PM
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on December 29, 2019, 03:19:09 PM
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on December 29, 2019, 02:30:15 PM
It's not the DNC's fault if these universities and news organizations don't make polls.
It is to a certain extent, considering that they designated only these (usually reliable) pollsters to count towards the debate, especially when one considers that there are reputable pollsters like MC that are excluded.

Morning Consult's poll isn't a real poll.  They are using the same pool of people for every iteration and just tracking how those people change their minds.  That is why the numbers are always the same.
Fair, but the point still stands.

Which poll do you want?

The state polls I see for December are:
Emerson (lol)
Change Research (definitely not)
Civiqs (who?)
FairVote (who?)
WBUR NH (maybe legit?)
Fair enough. We do need more polls, however.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2020, 11:24:10 PM »
Quote from: bilaps on January 22, 2020, 12:03:03 PM
Emerson national comes out tomorrow.
Probably a Bernie lead, since its Emerson and he has been gaining.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #4 on: January 25, 2020, 09:04:54 PM »
definitely a bernie surge, wouldnt make much sense to say this if biden, the consistent frontrunner, was leading.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2020, 09:29:31 PM »
Is anyone going to leak the numbers?
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #6 on: February 01, 2020, 09:38:25 PM »
Quote from: 👁👁 on February 01, 2020, 09:34:43 PM

They were already leaked. My prediction turned out to be 100% right! I will now accept my accolades.
lol. Really a shame they are throwing out the poll though, considering it was probably a one-off issue.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #7 on: February 01, 2020, 09:38:50 PM »
Quote from: michelle on February 01, 2020, 09:38:16 PM
From what I've read it seems like the poll was especially poor for Buttigieg so his campaign convinced them to cancel it.
(Citation Needed)
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #8 on: February 01, 2020, 09:44:09 PM »
Quote from: michelle on February 01, 2020, 09:42:31 PM
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on February 01, 2020, 09:38:50 PM
Quote from: michelle on February 01, 2020, 09:38:16 PM
From what I've read it seems like the poll was especially poor for Buttigieg so his campaign convinced them to cancel it.
(Citation Needed)

A lot of people are saying this.

OK, who? An example, perhaps, lol?
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #9 on: March 23, 2020, 06:50:52 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on March 23, 2020, 06:28:33 PM
Quote from: Comrade Doof on March 23, 2020, 05:07:11 PM


Considering the poll they had of Trump's record high approval ratings today, I don't know if my heart can take a favorable match-up poll for Trump when this comes out.
I think it will have Biden up 3-4. I really hope so, at least.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #10 on: March 23, 2020, 06:53:42 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on March 23, 2020, 06:52:03 PM
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on March 23, 2020, 06:50:52 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on March 23, 2020, 06:28:33 PM
Quote from: Comrade Doof on March 23, 2020, 05:07:11 PM


Considering the poll they had of Trump's record high approval ratings today, I don't know if my heart can take a favorable match-up poll for Trump when this comes out.
I think it will have Biden up 3-4. I really hope so, at least.

That's still way too close for comfort!
Yeah, but on the other hand I don't think Trump will actually be at even approval on election day.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #11 on: April 01, 2020, 09:16:08 AM »
Quote from: Russian Bear on April 01, 2020, 07:41:35 AM

Predictions--

Trump 47, Biden 45

Trump 49. Sanders 45

Biden 55, Sanders 39
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #12 on: April 08, 2020, 09:06:28 PM »


Guessing Biden +5.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #13 on: April 08, 2020, 09:55:12 PM »
Quote from: LCameronOR on April 08, 2020, 09:54:04 PM
Quote from: #Bidenworth2020 on April 08, 2020, 09:06:28 PM


Guessing Biden +5.
I'm going to be bold and say +6.
Yeah, +6 seems to be the magic number for most polls recently. I wouldn't be surprised at all.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #14 on: May 05, 2020, 08:39:08 PM »
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #15 on: May 11, 2020, 01:55:41 PM »
Prediction- Biden +1
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #16 on: June 02, 2020, 06:23:42 PM »


Guessing Biden +10
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #17 on: June 17, 2020, 05:39:54 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 17, 2020, 05:33:56 PM
Looks like we'll have Q-pac tomorrow
Link?
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #18 on: June 19, 2020, 01:10:39 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 19, 2020, 10:51:48 AM
A poster at Daily Kos Elections informs us that new Siena/NYT Upshot battleground state polls are in the field right now.
Link?
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #19 on: June 19, 2020, 04:02:44 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on June 19, 2020, 04:02:12 PM
Quote from: #Bidenworth2020 on June 19, 2020, 01:10:39 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 19, 2020, 10:51:48 AM
A poster at Daily Kos Elections informs us that new Siena/NYT Upshot battleground state polls are in the field right now.
Link?

This weekend? Results will probably appear in the middle of next week.
I meant to the source saying NYT is conducting these polls.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #20 on: June 23, 2020, 02:35:26 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on June 23, 2020, 02:17:14 PM
That Arizona sample is laughable. If Biden is within 5 points he should be happy.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #21 on: June 24, 2020, 10:13:41 AM »
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #22 on: July 06, 2020, 11:54:41 PM »
Election Twitter is crowdfunding (yes, you read that right), a poll of AK-SEN, which will also include presidential numbers and Biden/Trump favorables.



Gaining money quick, so it seems likely that we will get the long-awaited Alaksa poll!
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #23 on: July 10, 2020, 03:39:10 PM »
Yep. I'm going to guess Trump +10, Bullock +5, Gianforte +1, and Rosendale +4 as my predictions.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #24 on: July 14, 2020, 12:07:39 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 14, 2020, 11:43:55 AM

Based on the fact that they pose the question of whether "there is a hidden Trump vote" in PA, I am going to assume he is doing better than most polls suggest as of now. Biden +3 is my prediction.
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