Scottish Parliament Election, 6th May 2021 (user search)
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  Scottish Parliament Election, 6th May 2021 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Scottish Parliament Election, 6th May 2021  (Read 42812 times)
njwes
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« on: February 26, 2021, 11:05:33 AM »

What proportion of the SNP's base would you say is/was pro-Brexit? 25%? A third? (Or--possibly close to the same thing--what proportion of pro-Independence Scots were also pro-Brexit?)
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njwes
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« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2021, 05:36:57 PM »

Seems odd for a no confidence vote to be called before she's actually given evidence. Probably means it's more likely the SNP will act in unison on this, than if they'd had another day of bad blood being aired in which to damage themselves?

Maybe the Scottish Tories just want to get ahead of the other Unionist parties?
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njwes
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« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2021, 06:03:26 PM »

Any idea what the feelings are atm within the SNP itself, the MPs and MSPs in Westminster and Holyrood? Have they mostly stayed quiet on this? Is there a notable "anti-Sturgeon" faction among them?
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njwes
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« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2021, 07:26:26 AM »

Tbh I kind of doubt the SNP would pursue EU membership. It's nice to keep it open, because it represents a contrast with Westminster, but the idea of Scotland being in an separate economic bloc to rUK seems ... disadvantageous, especially if they need a hard border.

No sh**t. It's hard for me to understand how so many Scots can think that independence and a clear break with England will be anything but a nightmare. Braveheart was a fun movie and solid for the mid-90s (though not as good as Spice World) but it's time to move on.


Anyway it's not clear to me based on what I've read that Alba was truly founded for ideological reasons and largely political ones. But, to be fair, it DOES seem like it would make sense for a Scottish political party catering to the center-right to right-wing nationalist vote.

Even if the center-left to left wing block of nationalist is larger, I seem to remember polling from the late 00's through to 2016 indicating that of the nationalist, pro-independence portion of the Scottish electorate, something like maybe 25%-33% also self-identified as conservative or right-wing or whatever.

There was also an interesting paper from (I think) 2016 that analyzed IndyRef1 voters and Brexit referendum voters, and found that maybe 30% of those who voted for "Independence" also voted for "Leave."

So there is a constituency there maybe, but making a party to cater to them only feels like it would work in a new electoral system, maybe in, ya know, a newly independent country maybe. Right? Even with the voting system used for the Scottish Parliament right now, would there be much for Alba to work with even if they got say 80% of the 30% of conservative nationalists?
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