New Jersey York definitely not, not sure about NYJ
You're pushing it way too far.
NH is known for an anti-incumbent swing, at the very least it's known to be somewhat more elastic and the entirety of New England swung hard left in 2020. So Biden's performance is probably not part of a larger leftward shift in the state the way it was in GA. And even in 2020 NJ voted 8.5 points to the left of NH - that's no small amount. #trendz are not going to make that difference just disappear, at least not in the short run.
As for NY, even if NYC trends hard right, it's not going to be nearly enough to shift NY 15+ points rightward, which is what would need to happen for NH to vote to the right of NY. Only way that kind of swing occurs in the short term is if NYC literally goes underwater overnight.
Not in 2024, where I expect NH to vote 5% left of NJ and 10% left of NY.
*right
