The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +2

Disapprove 51% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% u

Disapprove 51% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, u.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% u

Disapprove 51% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, +1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% u

Disapprove 52% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, -1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% -1

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 38%, -1.

[J. J.]

Beginning in 1900, 13 of 18 Presidents seeking re-election or at the least continuation of their terms have been re-elected.  That can't be mere coincidence. An incumbent President has advantages that a challenger doesn't have.

Sorry about the typo involving George W. Bush and the 2008 election. 

An incumbent president has advantages, but not overwhelming ones.

Post World War II, we've had two incumbents that looked at the situation and said, "I can't win," and then dropped out (HST, LBJ).  We've had three losses (GRF, JEC, GHWB).  The number that were re-elected was six (HST, DDE, LBJ, RMN, RWR, WJC, GWB).  It is almost even.

[J. J.]

May 7, 2010


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% -2

Disapprove 54% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, +2.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% +1

Disapprove 53% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, +1.

The slip below 30% in strongly approve might be some real movement.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% +1

Disapprove 52% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.

[J. J.]

Maps for SS's all polls data (gray is no polls, yellow is a tie). The Ramussen only map looks pretty much the same, and the non-Rasmussen polls map is boring because half the states have no polls.

Except for PA and WI, it's the 2000 map.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +1

Disapprove 51% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, -2.


[No polling over Mother's Day]

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% -1

Disapprove 52% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, +2.


There seems to be slight, but marked, erosion in Obama's "Strongly Approve" numbers.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% -1

Disapprove 53% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% u

Disapprove 53% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +2

Disapprove 52% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% u

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, -2.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% -2

Disapprove 53% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, +1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% -1

Disapprove 53% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +2.

Obama has taken a very big hit on strongly approve, but it might just be a bad sample.

[J. J.]

yea those polls vary. He could be at 49% tomorrow.

Probably not.

The other numbers have been fairly stable, about a 5 point range.  The 49% is at the upper end.

The 25% is low and outside of range.  We'll have to wait until, at most, Thursday to if it is real or not.

[J. J.]

Gallup: 46 approval/ 46 disapproval

That's why I stopped posting Gallup.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44% -1

Disapprove 55% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, +2.

Again, it could be a bad sample.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44% -1

Disapprove 55% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, +2.

Again, it could be a bad sample.

WORD!!!!!

I'd be a heck of a lot more impressed if the numbers continued in this range for 4-6 days.  This could be a bad sample.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% +1

Disapprove 53% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -2.

A bad sample look like it dropped off, but the numbers are still lower.  One more day is needed to confirm that.

[J. J.]

SurveyUSA - May (600 adults)

California: 51% Approve, 44% Disapprove

Kansas: 33% Approve, 65% Disapprove

New York: 52% Approve, 45% Disapprove

Oregon: 52% Approve, 45% Disapprove

Washington: 49% Approve, 47% Disapprove

Are these real? If so, I have to lol @ Obama supposedly having the same approval in New York and Oregon. Ridiculous.

Rasmussen usually refutes SUSA within a few weeks. Supposedly Rasmussen has a model giving a house advantage to Republicans -- but SUSA goes far beyond what Rasmussen is accused of. SUSA generally polls the same group of states, and never ones likely to decide anything.

Actually Rasmussen generic ballot has dropped slightly.  It is at +6 R, but it was as high as +10 earlier in the year. 

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% +1

Disapprove 53% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.


There might have been slight erosion on Obama's numbers, but across the board.  It doesn't indicate a big shift.