GA-SEN 2020 Class II Megathread (Perdue inc.)

[DINGO Joe]

Has anyone ever gotten a picture of, or proven the existence of Patricia McCracken yet?

[DINGO Joe]

Has anyone ever gotten a picture of, or proven the existence of Patricia McCracken yet?

https://www.blogfordemocracy.org/2010/07/mystery-galrevealed.html

Wow, I had just heard of her from 2016 when she won the nomination for GA 12, sight unseen and got 38% that fall, again never seen.

[DINGO Joe]

Greg Bluestein of the AJC tweeted earlier this morning that Bourdeaux is now at 49.3%.

She's at 49.42 now.  Gwinnett does updates like every 2-3 hrs or so.  It just a matter of how much is left.  It'll be close and even then the provisionals could change things.  Even so, it would be hard for Romero to look at the numbers and decide to continue to a runoff.

[DINGO Joe]

This was the right move. Now she needs to work on analyzing and correcting what went wrong to prep for Gov/Lt Gov/SoS in 2022.

Out of curiosity, what do you think went wrong for her? I think a lot of her problems were beyond her control.

This, essentially. The moment Ossoff entered (and to a lesser degree, Amico), it was over in retrospect. People forget that Georgia is a name recognition state. Democrats in particular are going to vote en masse for the name they recognize (and when that isn't a factor, boy, do you get some stupid outcomes). Her fundraising was lackluster but didn't cost her the race (need I point out the Stacey Evans of the world who outraised their opponents and still lost); mainly it just led to the first swipe that allowed for an anti-momentum narrative to take hold.

See the current outcome map? It's a media market/name rec map, and nothing more:



Tomlinson won her home turf - i.e. the media market where she has had years of earned media exposure. While Ossoff was also well-known, she was the more trusted figure here obviously.

Amico won on the outskirts of Georgia in FL media markets because she was the only candidate to ever be on the ballot there, and neither of the other campaigns put any energy into these markets. By the way, this pattern of border counties in South GA has appeared in past primaries across both parties; neglect due to most people in those media markets being out-of-state. Similar but less absolute trends often occur in NW GA-Chatt media market: Ossoff was 25-35 there with Amico in 2nd, despite him winning majorities in every bordering ATL media market county.

Ossoff prevailed everywhere else due to his name rec and strength in the main media market.

The contrast in voting pattern is especially stark as you go from the Columbus to Atlanta market.  Harris Co votes 57-27 for Tomlinson while the next county north, Troup, votes 53-15 Ossoff.  It's almost like Columbus doesn't even exist.

[DINGO Joe]

Bordeaux now at 50.5

[DINGO Joe]

With all but 3 Precincts left to report according to the GA SoS Office Senator David Perdue has 43K more Votes than Trump.

Perdue: 958,560

Trump: 934,773

I'd say right now that Perdue is in better shap in his own Reelection Race compared to Trumps Quest to hang on to GA 15 Electoral Votes.

You should read the disclaimer at the top of the SOS results website that says ballots cast for the March Presidential Primary haven't been added to the totals at this point.

[DINGO Joe]

Perdue tells a lie and Ossoff's nose grows?  That's not how the story goes.