Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26)

[Atlas Force]

Today’s the day for the NY-26 special. And FWIW:

https://twitter.com/forgetprotocol/status/1783342577384599692

[Minnesota Mike]

NYT NY-26 results free link.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/04/30/us/elections/results-new-york-us-house-26.html?unlocked_article_code=1.oU0.cUfy.hospHFO_p5Ei&smid=url-share

[GeorgiaModerate]

Considering that it's New York, when will we get some results?  Thursday?

[Atlas Force]

Considering that it's New York, when will we get some results?  Thursday?

This district actually counted pretty fast in 2022

https://twitter.com/DjsokeSpeaking/status/1785316356922937706

[Minnesota Mike]

Welp this one's over.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Timothy M. Kennedy
Democrat   13,944   +75.3%75.3%
Gary Dickson
Republican   4,582   +24.7%24.7
Total reported
18,526

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/DjsokeSpeaking/status/1785477107050512670

[Oryxslayer]

90% of the vote according to NYT. All of Niagara, a little remaining in Erie.

Timothy M. Kennedy (Dem) 68.5%

Gary Dickson (GOP) 31.5%

That's a Dem number 4.5% larger than in 2022, 6% larger than Biden's result. That's no doubt partially cause of a massive money advantage at work.

[Roll Roons]

Good on them for timely counting.

[The Mikado]

This is going to mess up all those Special Election spreadsheets, isn't it?

[Nyvin]

The only reason this election happened is because Higgins got bored and left.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

The only reason this election happened is because Higgins got bored and left.

to be fair, seeing the whole mess that's been going on in the house I don't blame him.

[Epaminondas]

This is going to mess up all those Special Election spreadsheets, isn't it?

Looking at the lists, a 10 points overperformance over Biden has been the norm in blue districts since 2022.

[wbrocks67]

90% of the vote according to NYT. All of Niagara, a little remaining in Erie.

Timothy M. Kennedy (Dem) 68.5%

Gary Dickson (GOP) 31.5%

That's a Dem number 4.5% larger than in 2022, 6% larger than Biden's result. That's no doubt partially cause of a massive money advantage at work.

Margin is actually 13% better than Biden/Trump, not 6%

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/DjsokeSpeaking/status/1786120570737774972

90% of the vote according to NYT. All of Niagara, a little remaining in Erie.

Timothy M. Kennedy (Dem) 68.5%

Gary Dickson (GOP) 31.5%

That's a Dem number 4.5% larger than in 2022, 6% larger than Biden's result. That's no doubt partially cause of a massive money advantage at work.

Margin is actually 13% better than Biden/Trump, not 6%

He’s referring to the share of the vote Biden got

[SnowLabrador]

This result means next to nothing for November. Republicans are going to vote in much higher numbers than they did in this special election.

[Duke of York]

This result means next to nothing for November. Republicans are going to vote in much higher numbers than they did in this special election.

you never think anything is positive for Democrats.

[SnowLabrador]

This result means next to nothing for November. Republicans are going to vote in much higher numbers than they did in this special election.

you never think anything is positive for Democrats.

On the contrary, downballot Democrats are doing decently well for now. It's just Biden whom the voters don't like for some reason.

[Duke of York]

This result means next to nothing for November. Republicans are going to vote in much higher numbers than they did in this special election.

you never think anything is positive for Democrats.

On the contrary, downballot Democrats are doing decently well for now. It's just Biden whom the voters don't like for some reason.

Yet you always predict the Democrat will lose.

[DrScholl]

This result means next to nothing for November. Republicans are going to vote in much higher numbers than they did in this special election.

Based on what? Your inane cheerleading for Republicans is tired and old. They are failing across the board and you refuse to acknowledge. Underperfomances like this are a bad sign for Republicans going into November because they show an enthusiasm gap.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Consider what Snow's reaction would have been if there had been a >10% Republican overperformance.